New York @ Milwaukee Picks & Props
NYM vs MIL Picks
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NYM vs MIL Consensus Picks
66% picking NY Mets
Total PicksNYM 362, MIL 184
64% picking NY Mets vs Milwaukee to go Over
Total PicksNYM 185, MIL 105
NYM vs MIL Props
Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte as the 19th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. Starling Marte is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Starling Marte's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 42.4% to 48.8%. Starling Marte has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .311 rate is considerably lower than his .338 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Pete Alonso has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 93.3-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Sal Frelick will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) may lead us to conclude that J.D. Martinez has had bad variance on his side this year with his .232 actual batting average.
Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Tyrone Taylor has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 92.4-mph over the past two weeks. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 38.1% to 50.4%. In the last 14 days, Tyrone Taylor's 65.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50.4%.
Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Mark Vientos has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 96.4-mph.
Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Willy Adames will have an advantage in today's game.
Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Jackson Chourio will have the upper hand today. Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Rhys Hoskins will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea today. Rhys Hoskins will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Rhys Hoskins has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13% seasonal rate to 26.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.
William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. William Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, William Contreras will have an edge today. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Blake Perkins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Blake Perkins will get to bat from his better side against Sean Manaea in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage today. In the past 14 days, Blake Perkins's 23.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.7%. Blake Perkins has recorded a .320 BABIP this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Brice Turang is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage today. Brice Turang has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .250 rate is a fair amount lower than his .287 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jose Iglesias has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. In the past week, Jose Iglesias's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.3% up to 7.7%. In the last week, Jose Iglesias's 69.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50.7%.
Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Over the past 14 days, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.1-mph in recent games. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 31.1% to 38%.
Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Gary Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Manaea in today's matchup. Gary Sanchez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Gary Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Gary Sanchez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.1-mph EV.
Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Jesse Winker will have the upper hand in today's game. Jesse Winker's quickness has improved this year. His 23.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.06 ft/sec now.
Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Frankie Montas in today's matchup.
Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Francisco Lindor's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (18.7°) is considerably better than his 13.4° figure last year. Using Statcast data, Francisco Lindor is in the 95th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .370.
NYM vs MIL Trends
New York Trends
The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 98 games (+21.45 Units / 16% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 99 games (+16.40 Units / 13% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 away games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 101 games (+11.60 Units / 10% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 49 away games (-15.80 Units / -26% ROI)
Milwaukee Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 91 of their last 159 games (+10.95 Units / 5% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 159 games (+9.85 Units / 5% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 80 of their last 155 games (+9.35 Units / 6% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 88 of their last 159 games (+7.12 Units / 4% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.45 Units / 18% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 71 of their last 159 games (-30.77 Units / -16% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 155 games (-23.15 Units / -14% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 25 games (-10.70 Units / -35% ROI)
NYM vs MIL Top User Picks
NY Mets Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
| 2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
| 3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
| 4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
| 5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
| 6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
| 8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
| 9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
| 10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
| All Mets Money Leaders | |||
Milwaukee Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 9-1-0 | +27055 |
| 2 | LuckyGuy | 3-7-0 | +21010 |
| 3 | Ollywood | 4-6-0 | +19651 |
| 4 | luke44 | 2-7-1 | +18810 |
| 5 | declin005 | 5-5-0 | +18675 |
| 6 | ronebme | 7-3-0 | +18055 |
| 7 | joe pockets | 7-3-0 | +17000 |
| 8 | peede | 5-5-0 | +16645 |
| 9 | longball44 | 7-3-0 | +16480 |
| 10 | djgarcia | 7-3-0 | +16030 |
| All Brewers Money Leaders | |||