Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds — Wednesday, September 17

Look for Jesus Luzardo to be in complete control vs. the Dodgers tonight, per our MLB betting picks.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Sep 17, 2025 • 15:41 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Jesus Luzardo Phillies MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Jesus Luzardo of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Philadelphia Phillies will be looking to complete the sweep against the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight.

Jesus Luzardo has been throwing the ball well, and my Phillies vs. Dodgers predictions expect another solid outing from the southpaw. 

Read more in my MLB picks for Wednesday, September 17. 

Phillies vs Dodgers prediction

Phillies vs Dodgers best bet: Jesus Luzardo Under 2.5 earned runs (-135)

Jesus Luzardo has been a nice pickup for the Philadelphia Phillies this year, going 14-9 with a 4.03 ERA across 30 starts. He’s struck out 200 hitters in 169 2/3 innings of work while walking 56.

The lefty has cashed the Under in earned runs allowed in three of his last five outings. 

Last time out, he did give up four earned, but Luzardo still lasted eight innings. Prior to that, the southpaw allowed just two runs to the Marlins and even threw a scoreless 6 2/3 frames against the Braves. 

He faced the Los Angeles Dodgers earlier this year, surrendering zero runs in seven innings of work. Luzardo also allowed a mere two hits.

Los Angeles is struggling at the moment, and he’s held their lineup to a .222 average across 68 at-bats. 

Luzardo has pitched better on the road, compiling a 3.50 ERA compared to 4.50 at home. All signs point to another dominant outing for him.

Phillies vs Dodgers same-game parlay (SGP)

Blake Snell has been his same dominant self since returning from the IL. He’s always been a strikeout pitcher, and that’s once again the case in 2025. Across 48 1/3 innings, he’s collected 55 Ks. 

Last time out, Snell racked up 11 strikeouts against the Rockies. He’s cashed the Over in punchouts in two of his last three outings. Snell also has 29 Ks in 73 at-bats against the Phillies. 

Kyle Schwarber is just 2-for-11 off Snell in his career, but he’s cashed the Over in hits in eight straight games. The veteran is swinging it well, and he’s also got a homer against Snell. Schwarber has now gone deep 53 times. 

His hitting streak will continue tonight, even if it means getting to the struggling Dodgers bullpen. 

Phillies vs Dodgers SGP

  • Jesus Luzardo Under 2.5 earned runs
  • Blake Snell Over 7.5 strikeouts
  • Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 hits

Phillies vs Dodgers odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +125 | Los Angeles -150
  • Run line: Philadelphia +1.5 | Los Angeles -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8

Phillies vs Dodgers trend

The Phillies have hit the Under in 41 of their last 73 away games (+13.40 Units / 17% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Phillies vs Dodgers and game info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Wednesday, September 17, 2025
First pitch 10:10 p.m. ET
TV NBCSP, SNLA, MLBN
Phillies starting pitcher Jesus Luzardo
(14-6, 4.03 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher Blake Snell
(4-4, 2.79 ERA)

Phillies vs Dodgers latest injuries

Phillies vs Dodgers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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