San Francisco @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Hitting from the same side that Zach Eflin throws from, Heliot Ramos has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Heliot Ramos will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Heliot Ramos's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15% down to 8.3%. In the past week's worth of games, Heliot Ramos's 35.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.1%. Heliot Ramos has been lucky this year, notching a .335 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .016 difference.

Despite posting a .383 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate given the .019 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .364.

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Mike Yastrzemski will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge today.

Grant McCray's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Grant McCray will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Eflin today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Adley Rutschman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage today.

Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Cedric Mullins will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage today. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 10th-worst out of every team today.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Anthony Santander generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb.

The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 10th-worst out of every team today. As it relates to his batting average, Patrick Bailey has suffered from bad luck this year. His .239 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Emmanuel Rivera has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Emmanuel Rivera will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Emmanuel Rivera has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 91-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jerar Encarnacion has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jerar Encarnacion has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an advantage in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.