Philadelphia @ Miami Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Cristian Pache will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past week, Cristian Pache's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.8% up to 20%. Cristian Pache's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 10.8% on the season to 20% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. David Hensley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.235) suggests that David Hensley has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .217 actual wOBA.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. This season, Bryce Harper's Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 15.4% last year to just 9.8% this year. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Bryce Harper's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 93.7 mph to 86.1 mph.

Jonah Bride is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jonah Bride will hold that advantage today. Posting a 1.71 K/BB rate this year, Jonah Bride has displayed strong plate discipline, grading out in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Johan Rojas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Johan Rojas are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Darren McCaughan.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Darren McCaughan will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Castellanos in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering McCaughan's large platoon split. Nick Castellanos has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-deepest RF fences today. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Castellanos today. Over the last week, Nick Castellanos's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Darren McCaughan will have the handedness advantage against Trea Turner in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering McCaughan's large platoon split. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 15.9% on the season to 2.4% over the last 14 days. Trea Turner's speed has dropped off this year. His 30.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.51 ft/sec now.

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola today. Kyle Stowers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Given Darren McCaughan's large platoon split, Brandon Marsh will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Brandon Marsh's 58.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.3%. Brandon Marsh has notched a .358 BABIP this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Using Statcast data, Jake Burger is in the 76th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .334.

Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance this year. His .248 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .275.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and will be challenged by baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryson Stott in today's game. Bryson Stott has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 83.4-mph in the last week. By putting up a .268 BABIP this year, Bryson Stott has performed in the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Connor Norby is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Among all stadiums, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Connor Norby will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Darren McCaughan in today's matchup... and even better, McCaughan has a large platoon split. Kyle Schwarber has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 14.6% seasonal rate to 28.1% over the last 14 days.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Griffin Conine will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Griffin Conine will hold that advantage today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Griffin Conine's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.7% up to 16.7%. Griffin Conine has shown some good exit velocity indicators of late, averaging 101.1-mph on his flyballs over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game. Jesus Sanchez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage over Darren McCaughan in today's matchup... and even better, McCaughan has a large platoon split.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Because of Darren McCaughan's large platoon split, Kody Clemens will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Kody Clemens has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Xavier Edwards will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. As it relates to plate discipline, Xavier Edwards's skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.36 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 96th percentile.