Tampa Bay @ Baltimore Picks & Props
TB vs BAL Picks
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TB vs BAL Consensus Picks
74% picking Baltimore
Total PicksTB 176, BAL 500
60% picking Tampa Bay vs Baltimore to go Over
Total PicksTB 231, BAL 153
TB vs BAL Props
Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Yandy Díaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Yandy Diaz will have an edge in today's game. Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (0.8°) is significantly lower than his 4.9° angle last year. Yandy Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, falling from 38.8% on the season to 25% over the past 7 days.
Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Among every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays. Gunnar Henderson has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 11.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 5.1% over the past two weeks. Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 94.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 88.9-mph in the past week. Despite posting a .384 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has had some very good luck given the .020 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .364.
Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 field in baseball for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Christopher Morel has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph.
Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Adley Rutschman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge in today's game. Jackson Holliday will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 field in baseball for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Junior Caminero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.8-mph over the course of the season to 103.8-mph lately.
Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Baltimore
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Emmanuel Rivera has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage today. In the past week's worth of games, Emmanuel Rivera's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.5% up to 16.7%. Emmanuel Rivera has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89-mph average.
Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Dylan Carlson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP. The shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Dylan Carlson has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 91.6-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Santander will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Taylor Walls hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Taylor Walls has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 86.2-mph mark. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 15.3% on the season to 36.4% in the past two weeks' worth of games.
Eloy Jimenez Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 field in baseball for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Eloy Jimenez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Eloy Jimenez will hold that advantage today.
Nick Maton Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Nick Maton will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today's matchup. Nick Maton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nick Maton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 18th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent. Colton Cowser is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Baz today.
Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP. The shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Batting from the same side that Cole Irvin throws from, Jonathan Aranda meets a tough challenge today.
Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Cole Irvin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Rortvedt in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.9°, Ben Rortvedt has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.3° angle over the last 7 days. Posting a .331 BABIP this year, Ben Rortvedt finds himself in the 84th percentile.
Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Cole Irvin will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Lowe today.
Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage in today's game.
Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 field in baseball for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Jose Caballero has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last season's 87.7-mph average.
Josh Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
TB vs BAL Trends
Tampa Bay Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 67 of their last 118 games (+12.10 Units / 9% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 131 games (+12.20 Units / 8% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 69 games (+11.20 Units / 11% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 64 games (+9.85 Units / 14% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 away games (+5.70 Units / 11% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 55 of their last 137 games (-44.35 Units / -26% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 123 games (-41.80 Units / -27% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 118 games (-39.40 Units / -27% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Team Total Over in 60 of their last 137 games (-29.25 Units / -18% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 112 games (-17.95 Units / -15% ROI)
Baltimore Trends
The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 73 of their last 132 games (+20.15 Units / 13% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 90 games (+13.95 Units / 14% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 45% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 126 games (+5.65 Units / 4% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 94 games (-23.15 Units / -22% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 66 games (-21.80 Units / -27% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 67 games (-17.00 Units / -17% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 2 of their last 10 games (-7.25 Units / -61% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 10 games at home (-5.85 Units / -31% ROI)
TB vs BAL Top User Picks
Tampa Bay Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | funaki | 7-3-0 | +19280 |
| 2 | pokersquirrel | 2-7-1 | +17755 |
| 3 | kowalabear | 8-2-0 | +15775 |
| 4 | vladislav1968 | 5-4-1 | +15330 |
| 5 | kenpitch | 5-4-1 | +13015 |
| 6 | Smmiou07 | 7-2-1 | +12845 |
| 7 | adgadg222 | 5-4-1 | +12550 |
| 8 | Mexicali72 | 4-6-0 | +11420 |
| 9 | brandydump1 | 6-4-0 | +11345 |
| 10 | mm76ers | 5-5-0 | +11325 |
| All Rays Money Leaders | |||
Baltimore Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +31435 |
| 2 | stumpmaker | 4-5-1 | +24450 |
| 3 | reddog6008 | 7-2-1 | +20117 |
| 4 | coach_d5 | 7-3-0 | +18885 |
| 5 | jnc3lb | 5-5-0 | +16895 |
| 6 | mccabe40 | 3-7-0 | +16810 |
| 7 | MLBFan8848 | 5-5-0 | +16285 |
| 8 | R_MUNDO | 4-6-0 | +16065 |
| 9 | Enelra18 | 4-5-1 | +15445 |
| 10 | Queefs4 | 5-4-1 | +15185 |
| All Orioles Money Leaders | |||