Philadelphia @ Miami Picks & Props

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Kyle Stowers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kyle Stowers will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Kyle Stowers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 101.3-mph in recent games. In the last two weeks, Kyle Stowers's 61.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.5%.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Adam Oller will have the handedness advantage against Trea Turner today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner today.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Adam Oller throws from, Nick Castellanos will have a tough matchup today. Nick Castellanos has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Adam Oller today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Brandon Marsh's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 93.4-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 91.4-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, David Hensley will have the upper hand in today's matchup. David Hensley will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, David Hensley has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .217 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .236.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Today, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.9% rate (88th percentile). Extreme flyball hitters like Xavier Edwards generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.284) may lead us to conclude that Xavier Edwards has had positive variance on his side this year with his .341 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Cristian Pache will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Cristian Pache will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Cristian Pache's quickness has improved this season. His 27.84 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.41 ft/sec now. Since the start of last season, Cristian Pache has an average exit velocity of 90.9 mph, which ranks among the elite in the majors at the 86th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in the game. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Oller throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Connor Norby is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Connor Norby will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Johan Rojas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Johan Rojas has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 29.35 ft/sec to 30.08 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Johan Rojas's true offensive ability to be a .276, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .020 deviation between that figure and his actual .256 wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Batting from the opposite that Adam Oller throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Oller throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's matchup. Bryson Stott is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Austin Hays sports a .321 BABIP this year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jake Burger will have an advantage today. Jake Burger will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

J.T. Realmuto's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. J.T. Realmuto has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks. J.T. Realmuto has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 94-mph. With a .269 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , J.T. Realmuto grades out in the 79th percentile.

Jonah Bride is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jonah Bride will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jonah Bride will hold that advantage today. With a 1.7 K/BB rate this year, Jonah Bride has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 89th percentile.

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Adam Oller today. Kody Clemens has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Kody Clemens has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last year's 90.9-mph average. Kody Clemens's quickness has improved this year. His 27.6 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.06 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Otto Lopez will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's game. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Nick Fortes will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .245 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has experienced some negative variance given the .024 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .269.

Derek Hill has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Edmundo Sosa has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jhonny Pereda has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.