Houston @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best hitter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°.

Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage over Yainer Diaz in today's game. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Yainer Diaz has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Yainer Diaz's launch angle lately (0.7° over the past two weeks) is significantly lower than his 8.7° seasonal angle. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 21.6% to 11.8%.

Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Batting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, Jeremy Pena will have a tough matchup today. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Jeremy Pena's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 91.4-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 86.5-mph over the past 7 days. Jeremy Pena's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 41.9% on the season to 25% in the last 14 days.

T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an edge in today's game. T.J. Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman in today's matchup. In today's game, Alex Bregman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.3% rate (82nd percentile). Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the past 14 days, Alex Bregman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 90.4 mph to 88.1 mph. Alex Bregman has notched a .275 BABIP this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 venue in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Chas McCormick has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 14th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Rhett Lowder will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Altuve today. In the past week's worth of games, Jose Altuve's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%. Jose Altuve's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 82.5-mph over the past 7 days. Jose Altuve has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .294 figure is inflated compared to his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ty France's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 venue in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

Yordan Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 11th-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yordan Alvarez in today's matchup. Yordan Alvarez has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .311 rate is inflated compared to his .289 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Brown in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Jake Fraley will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 venue in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Jonathan India pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 venue in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 venue in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Mauricio Dubon's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 venue in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Mauricio Dubon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team in action today.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Jason Heyward will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jason Heyward pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 14th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Jon Singleton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Jon Singleton will have an edge in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 14th-weakest out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 venue in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Santiago Espinal has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 venue in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Amed Rosario will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Amed Rosario has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.7-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 86.9-mph average.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Ben Gamel will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 14th-weakest out of every team playing today.