World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksOAK 219, TEX 278
Total PicksOAK 146, TEX 151
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Spence in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage today. Nathaniel Lowe's launch angle recently (20.5° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 7.8° seasonal mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jose Urena will have the handedness advantage over Jacob Wilson in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Urena's large platoon split.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Marcus Semien has had bad variance on his side this year. His .238 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .271. In terms of plate discipline, Marcus Semien's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.54 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 93rd percentile.
Josh Smith is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Spence throws from, Josh Smith will have an edge today. Josh Smith will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Josh Smith has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 20.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.8°. Josh Smith has notched a .335 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.
Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Leody Taveras has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.2-mph average. Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .227 rate is a good deal lower than his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the league. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Spence in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Corey Seager has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 17.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.5°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Considering Jose Urena's large platoon split, Zack Gelof will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today. Zack Gelof's launch angle recently (25.2° in the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 14.2° seasonal mark. Zack Gelof has been unlucky this year, notching a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 — a .031 gap.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Lawrence Butler is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. In the past week's worth of games, Lawrence Butler's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12% up to 30%. Lawrence Butler has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.1-mph average to last season's 90.4-mph average.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Considering Jose Urena's large platoon split, Brent Rooker will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game. Extreme groundball batters like Brent Rooker usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Walter Pennington. This season, Brent Rooker has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.4 mph compared to last year's 94.9 mph mark.
J.J. Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. J.J. Bleday is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP. Extreme flyball bats like J.J. Bleday are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Walter Pennington. J.J. Bleday has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark. There has been a significant improvement in J.J. Bleday's launch angle from last season's 15.4° to 18.9° this year.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Adolis Garcia will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.8-mph. Adolis Garcia has been unlucky this year, compiling a .290 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .033 deviation.
Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Considering Jose Urena's large platoon split, Shea Langeliers will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today. Shea Langeliers has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 94.8-mph over the last week. Shea Langeliers's launch angle of late (23.7° in the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 16° seasonal angle. Shea Langeliers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 13.4% to 18.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Wyatt Langford has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.4% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the last 7 days. Over the past two weeks, Wyatt Langford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 95.8-mph of late.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage today. Using Statcast metrics, Josh Jung is in the 76th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .263. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Josh Jung sports a .340 BABIP since the start of last season.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Seth Brown ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seth Brown may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP. Seth Brown has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.2% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past 7 days. Seth Brown has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.3-mph average. In the last 14 days, Seth Brown's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.9%.
Tyler Nevin is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Jose Urena will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Nevin today... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Urena's large platoon split. Tyler Nevin has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 25.72 ft/sec to 26.36 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.225) provides evidence that Tyler Nevin has been unlucky this year with his .202 actual batting average. Tyler Nevin grades out in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.1% rate this year).
Daz Cameron is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Because of Jose Urena's large platoon split, Daz Cameron will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) implies that Daz Cameron has had some very poor luck this year with his .189 actual batting average.
Carson Kelly will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jakringle | 7-3-0 | +22825 |
| 2 | Pestache | 7-3-0 | +17260 |
| 3 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +17005 |
| 4 | dcrunk022 | 5-5-0 | +15495 |
| 5 | covecove | 10-0-0 | +15340 |
| 6 | fsu93 | 7-3-0 | +14465 |
| 7 | melzer | 6-4-0 | +13555 |
| 8 | vlkvlk2012 | 6-4-0 | +12935 |
| 9 | cucamonga | 3-7-0 | +12765 |
| 10 | pokersquirrel | 5-5-0 | +12325 |
| All Athletics Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KingScorpio | 7-3-0 | +24325 |
| 2 | mojonaciosoy | 8-2-0 | +20585 |
| 3 | bigosports12 | 7-3-0 | +19655 |
| 4 | hennryh | 7-3-0 | +17895 |
| 5 | Whiteyr | 4-6-0 | +17780 |
| 6 | MexicanBettor | 5-5-0 | +16866 |
| 7 | cameleon53 | 6-4-0 | +16495 |
| 8 | DODBUCKSTEEL | 5-5-0 | +15755 |
| 9 | chensucht | 6-4-0 | +15755 |
| 10 | dude18555 | 6-4-0 | +15415 |
| All Rangers Money Leaders | |||