Oakland @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Jonathan India will hold the platoon advantage against JP Sears today. Jonathan India has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph dropping to 81.8-mph over the past week. Jonathan India's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.4-mph average last season has dropped to 90.1-mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.3°, Jonathan India has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1°) in the past 14 days.

Batting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have an advantage in today's game. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 48.3% to 42.4%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.319) suggests that Tyler Stephenson has had some very good luck this year with his .346 actual wOBA.

Ty France is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Ty France will have an edge in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ty France's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%. Over the last 7 days, Ty France's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 93.1 mph to 84 mph. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, going from 42.6% on the season to 20% over the past 7 days.

Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup. Santiago Espinal will have the handedness advantage against JP Sears in today's matchup.

Daz Cameron is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in baseball for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 93°. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Daz Cameron has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in baseball for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 93°. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Zack Gelof has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.7% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past week's worth of games.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, notching a .355 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .022 difference.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 93°. Andrew Abbott will have the handedness advantage against Kyle McCann in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Brent Rooker will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Brent Rooker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Brent Rooker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Brent Rooker has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 17.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 12.5% in the past 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brent Rooker's true offensive skill to be a .355, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .033 gap between that figure and his actual .388 wOBA.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Seth Brown ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seth Brown is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 93°. Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Seth Brown has a tough challenge in today's game.

Lawrence Butler hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 11th-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lawrence Butler today. Lawrence Butler's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 91.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 89.2-mph over the past week. Lawrence Butler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, going from 15.7% on the season to 5.3% over the past 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lawrence Butler's true offensive skill to be a .310, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .017 deviation between that mark and his actual .327 wOBA.

J.J. Bleday is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 93°. Andrew Abbott will have the handedness advantage over J.J. Bleday in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in baseball for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 93°. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in baseball for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 93°. Noelvi Marte will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .240 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Noelvi Marte has had bad variance on his side given the .050 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

T.J. Friedl is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 93°. JP Sears will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against T.J. Friedl in today's matchup. T.J. Friedl is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Oakland Athletics has just 1 same-handed RP.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 93°. JP Sears will have the handedness advantage against Dominic Smith today. Dominic Smith is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Oakland Athletics has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 93°. JP Sears will hold the platoon advantage against Will Benson today. The Oakland Athletics have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Benson has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Will Benson will hold that advantage in today's game.