Texas @ Chicago Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Vargas's true offensive ability to be a .318, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .065 gap between that figure and his actual .253 wOBA.

Robbie Grossman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Robbie Grossman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Ky Bush in this game. Robbie Grossman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. By putting up a 1.55 K/BB rate this year, Robbie Grossman has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Luis Robert's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Luis Robert pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Luis Robert will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Marcus Semien will hold the platoon advantage against Ky Bush in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Marcus Semien generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Nastrini. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Marcus Semien today. In the last 7 days, Marcus Semien's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 90.5 mph to 84 mph. Marcus Semien's launch angle lately (-2° in the last week's worth of games) is significantly worse than his 16.3° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Ky Bush will have the handedness advantage over Nathaniel Lowe in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Josh Jung is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Josh Jung has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week. In the past week, Josh Jung's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Wyatt Langford has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last two weeks. In the past two weeks, Wyatt Langford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph lately.

Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Corey Seager's launch angle recently (1.3° in the last 7 days) is considerably lower than his 13° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Adolis Garcia has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage in today's game.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Korey Lee will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) provides evidence that Korey Lee has been unlucky this year with his .215 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Andrew Benintendi has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Lenyn Sosa has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage today. Lenyn Sosa's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 86.3-mph in the past 7 days. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 46.3% to 52.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Leody Taveras's launch angle this season (13.1°) is considerably higher than his 9.9° angle last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, Leody Taveras has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 38.3° angle over the past week.

Nicky Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Nicky Lopez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Nicky Lopez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Ky Bush will hold the platoon advantage against Josh Smith in today's game. Josh Smith pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.8°, Josh Smith has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29° figure over the last two weeks.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Brooks Baldwin will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Brooks Baldwin has been unlucky this year, notching a .253 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .039 disparity.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Ky Bush throws from, Ezequiel Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Duran has suffered from bad luck given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonah Heim has had some very poor luck given the .021 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Dominic Fletcher will have an advantage today. Dominic Fletcher has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Dominic Fletcher will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dominic Fletcher's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 22.4% on the season to 36.4% in the last 7 days.

Travis Jankowski has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.