World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksOAK 100, CIN 192
Total PicksOAK 111, CIN 87
Nick Martinez will hold the platoon advantage over Miguel Andujar today. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miguel Andujar in today's matchup. Miguel Andujar has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph dropping to 83.2-mph over the last 7 days. In the last week, Miguel Andujar has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power). When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Miguel Andujar has been lucky this year. His .305 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .276.
T.J. Friedl is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #7 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Spence throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an edge in today's game. T.J. Friedl is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Oakland Athletics only has 1 same-handed RP.
Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Brent Rooker will be in a tough position today. Brent Rooker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Brent Rooker will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. In the last 14 days, Brent Rooker's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.8% down to 11.1%. Despite posting a .391 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brent Rooker has been very fortunate given the .036 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .355.
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The #7 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Among all major league stadiums, Great American Ball Park's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°.
Mitch Spence will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Stephenson today. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.3% to 41.8%. Tyler Stephenson has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .342 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .318 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The 8th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°.
Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #7 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Lawrence Butler will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Lawrence Butler has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seth Brown in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Seth Brown is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #7 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Seth Brown will have an advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Zack Gelof's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 17.9% on the season to 30.8% in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Daz Cameron has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .291 mark is quite a bit lower than his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 76th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.24 ft/sec this year, Daz Cameron is very fast.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°. Noelvi Marte has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past week, Noelvi Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 18.2%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°. Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The 8th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°. Ty France will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
J.J. Bleday is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The #7 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, J.J. Bleday will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Tyler Nevin will be at a disadvantage today. Tyler Nevin has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
The #7 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Spence in today's matchup. The Oakland Athletics have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The 8th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Abraham Toro will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Nick Martinez in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 92°. Santiago Espinal has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Amed Rosario has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jakringle | 7-3-0 | +22825 |
| 2 | Pestache | 7-3-0 | +17260 |
| 3 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +17005 |
| 4 | dcrunk022 | 5-5-0 | +15495 |
| 5 | covecove | 10-0-0 | +15340 |
| 6 | fsu93 | 7-3-0 | +14465 |
| 7 | melzer | 6-4-0 | +13555 |
| 8 | vlkvlk2012 | 6-4-0 | +12935 |
| 9 | cucamonga | 3-7-0 | +12765 |
| 10 | pokersquirrel | 5-5-0 | +12325 |
| All Athletics Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLBFan8848 | 4-6-0 | +16975 |
| 2 | samua | 4-6-0 | +16620 |
| 3 | theSleeper | 5-5-0 | +15590 |
| 4 | sprtnt1 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 8-1-1 | +13865 |
| 6 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13531 |
| 7 | ASDFJKL123 | 5-4-1 | +13198 |
| 8 | stranger28 | 8-2-0 | +13139 |
| 9 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +13060 |
| 10 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 6-4-0 | +12725 |
| All Reds Money Leaders | |||