Houston @ Philadelphia Picks & Props
HOU vs PHI Picks
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HOU vs PHI Consensus Picks
69% picking Philadelphia
Total PicksHOU 186, PHI 411
HOU vs PHI Props
Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in baseball. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler today.
Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Austin Hays will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Austin Hays has hit 39.2% of his balls in the air 100 mph or faster this year, grading out in the 81st percentile. Austin Hays has put up a .322 BABIP this year, placing in the 80th percentile.
Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. Bryce Harper will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco today. Bryce Harper has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco today.
Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston
When it comes to his batting average skill, Yainer Diaz is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yainer Diaz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today.
Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 17th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average skill. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. Trea Turner will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. Nick Castellanos will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Bryson Stott's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today. Over the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 101.4-mph recently.
Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston
Jake Meyers's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today. In comparison to his 86-mph average last year, Jake Meyers's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 89.1 mph.
Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today.
Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston
Jose Altuve's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team in action today. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Altuve's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.
Jon Singleton Total Hits Props • Houston
Jon Singleton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Jon Singleton will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today.
Victor Caratini Total Hits Props • Houston
Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today. Victor Caratini has recorded a .270 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In notching a .333 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Victor Caratini has performed in the 81st percentile.
Ben Gamel Total Hits Props • Houston
Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Ben Gamel will have an edge in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today.
Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Shay Whitcomb Total Hits Props • Houston
Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate at 82°. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today. In the past 14 days, Shay Whitcomb's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.5% up to 12.5%. Over the past 14 days, Shay Whitcomb has averaged an impressive 103.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.
Zach Dezenzo Total Hits Props • Houston
Zach Dezenzo has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston
Mauricio Dubon has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
HOU vs PHI Trends
Houston Trends
The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 72 games (+14.40 Units / 16% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 123 games (+13.65 Units / 10% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 57 games (+12.35 Units / 15% ROI)
The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 12 away games (+10.50 Units / 77% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 away games (+9.45 Units / 52% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 129 games (-29.80 Units / -21% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 118 games (-18.90 Units / -13% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 94 games (-16.95 Units / -15% ROI)
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 55 games at home (+15.45 Units / 14% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 54 games at home (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.50 Units / 26% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 55 games at home (+7.95 Units / 7% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 77 games (-20.75 Units / -22% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 58 games (-19.75 Units / -28% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 125 games (-14.80 Units / -11% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 64 games (-13.90 Units / -17% ROI)
HOU vs PHI Top User Picks
Houston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +25682 |
| 2 | MLBFan8848 | 6-4-0 | +19240 |
| 3 | vlkvlk2012 | 5-5-0 | +19170 |
| 4 | Enelra18 | 7-3-0 | +18580 |
| 5 | sleeper2239 | 6-4-0 | +17535 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 6-4-0 | +17160 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 6-4-0 | +16230 |
| 8 | DarthRaider27 | 4-6-0 | +16035 |
| 9 | ewatson15 | 7-3-0 | +15815 |
| 10 | mdterrrps | 7-3-0 | +13795 |
| All Astros Money Leaders | |||
Philadelphia Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
| 2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
| 3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
| 4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
| 5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
| 6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
| 7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
| 8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
| 9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
| 10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| All Phillies Money Leaders | |||