St. Louis @ Minnesota Picks & Props
STL vs MIN Picks
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STL vs MIN Consensus Picks
66% picking Minnesota
Total PicksSTL 213, MIN 408
STL vs MIN Props
Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Erick Fedde will have the handedness advantage against Jose Miranda in today's matchup. Jose Miranda pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. In the last two weeks, Jose Miranda's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 90.9 mph to 87.4 mph. Jose Miranda's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 12.4% on the season to 0% in the last 14 days.
Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Erick Fedde will have the handedness advantage against Royce Lewis in today's game. Royce Lewis pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. In the past week, Royce Lewis's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.3% down to 0%. Royce Lewis has been lucky this year, compiling a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .337 — a .035 difference.
Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Zebby Matthews will have the handedness advantage against Masyn Winn in today's matchup. Masyn Winn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 10th-deepest CF fences today. Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.7-mph EV last season has fallen to 87.4-mph.
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Among all major league parks, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willi Castro's true offensive ability to be a .302, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .022 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .324 wOBA.
Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Today, Alec Burleson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (79th percentile). Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Burleson today. In the past week's worth of games, Alec Burleson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%. In the past 7 days, Alec Burleson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%.
Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Victor Scott will have an advantage today. Victor Scott has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.
Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.
Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis
Brendan Donovan's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Donovan is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews in today's matchup.
Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Edouard Julien will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Pedro Pages Total Hits Props • St. Louis
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.
Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Tommy Pham has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past week's worth of games.
Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team in action today.
Austin Martin Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Austin Martin will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last week, Austin Martin's 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.3%.
Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • St. Louis
Matt Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Matt Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage over Zebby Matthews today. Matt Carpenter has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Manuel Margot will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Manuel Margot has experienced some negative variance this year. His .279 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.
Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Matt Wallner is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge today.
Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis
Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.7° angle over the past two weeks.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ryan Jeffers has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.7% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the past 14 days.
Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage today. Carlos Santana has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.1% seasonal rate to 12.1% over the last two weeks. Carlos Santana has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 91.2-mph in the past 14 days.
Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage over Erick Fedde in today's matchup.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 44.4% on the season to 61.5% over the last week.
STL vs MIN Trends
St. Louis Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 64 away games (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.75 Units / 58% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+5.00 Units / 8% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.35 Units / 28% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.10 Units / 32% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 64 away games (-15.00 Units / -19% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 64 away games (-12.25 Units / -16% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 58 games (-11.80 Units / -18% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 58 away games (-8.05 Units / -12% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 11 away games (-7.40 Units / -58% ROI)
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games (+14.00 Units / 21% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 56 games at home (+13.85 Units / 21% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 108 games (+8.40 Units / 5% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 52 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 56 games at home (-23.20 Units / -36% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 68 games (-20.45 Units / -27% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 11 games (-6.20 Units / -49% ROI)
STL vs MIN Top User Picks
St. Louis Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | alltalc | 7-3-0 | +20715 |
| 2 | Jackson2399 | 7-3-0 | +17017 |
| 3 | deweyay9 | 5-5-0 | +16133 |
| 4 | steelsteve | 5-5-0 | +14620 |
| 5 | mrmac4224 | 6-4-0 | +13709 |
| 6 | Jerrybook | 9-1-0 | +13100 |
| 7 | cheeser | 7-3-0 | +12475 |
| 8 | mikers | 9-1-0 | +12375 |
| 9 | northlv6238 | 7-3-0 | +11580 |
| 10 | YAL15M | 6-4-0 | +10655 |
| All Cardinals Money Leaders | |||
Minnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||