Arizona @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Extreme flyball hitters like Jose Herrera tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kutter Crawford. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Jake McCarthy's launch angle of late (5.4° in the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 11.7° seasonal mark. Despite posting a .360 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake McCarthy has been very fortunate given the .052 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 93.7-mph seasonal average has decreased to 89.5-mph over the past 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive ability to be a .336, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .031 difference between that figure and his actual .367 wOBA.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. Kutter Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today's game. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today. In the past 14 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.4°. As it relates to his batting average, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been very fortunate this year. His .276 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .259.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Adrian Del Castillo will have an advantage in today's matchup. Adrian Del Castillo has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°.

Rafael Devers projects as the 17th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today's game.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Mickey Gasper pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Mickey Gasper will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen today.

Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. By putting up a .348 BABIP this year, Connor Wong grades out in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's game. Masataka Yoshida has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Josh Bell has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. David Hamilton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Joc Pederson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's game.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. This season, Geraldo Perdomo has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.4 mph compared to last year's 87.1 mph mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's game.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Luis Guillorme will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford today. Luis Guillorme has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as Luis Guillorme with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kutter Crawford who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Danny Jansen has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.