San Diego @ Colorado Picks & Props

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jackson Merrill's true offensive talent to be a .324, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .018 difference between that figure and his actual .342 wOBA.

David Peralta is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game. 32% of the time that David Peralta has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. David Peralta will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today's game.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jurickson Profar will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Bradley Blalock in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Jurickson Profar has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 8.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past week.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Hitting from the same side that Joe Musgrove throws from, Brendan Rodgers has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Brendan Rodgers has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11% rate last season has fallen to 5.1% this year. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 19.7% to 10.5%. Brendan Rodgers has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .322 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .301 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Batting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Manny Machado will have a disadvantage in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Manny Machado's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 92-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 83.6-mph in the last 7 days.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Batting from the same side that Joe Musgrove throws from, Brenton Doyle encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 93.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 83-mph in the last week. Brenton Doyle has been lucky this year, notching a .335 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .038 difference.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Hitting from the same side that Joe Musgrove throws from, Ezequiel Tovar faces a tough challenge in today's game. Ezequiel Tovar has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 16.5% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.277) implies that Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some positive variance this year with his .320 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best field in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Bradley Blalock will have the handedness advantage over Xander Bogaerts in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 89.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 87.2-mph in the last 14 days.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best field in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have an advantage in today's game.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Over the past week, Ha-seong Kim's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 22.2%. Ha-seong Kim has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 94.5-mph over the last week.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Aaron Schunk will hold that advantage today.

Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best field in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Joe Musgrove.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average ability. Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best field in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best field in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Sam Hilliard will have an edge today. Sam Hilliard will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage today. Checking in at the 78th percentile, Jacob Stallings sits with a .330 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jordan Beck will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the last 14 days, Kyle Higashioka's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.7-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.2°, Kyle Higashioka has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.3° mark over the past 14 days.

Jake Cave's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best field in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage over Joe Musgrove in today's matchup.