Los Angeles @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Victor Scott hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Victor Scott will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Victor Scott has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 3.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week's worth of games. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Victor Scott has suffered from bad luck this year. His .165 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .254.

Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Mookie Betts faces a tough challenge today. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. In the past week, Mookie Betts's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%. In the past 7 days, Mookie Betts's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 94-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Brendan Donovan will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.6°, Brendan Donovan has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.7° figure in the past two weeks' worth of games. Brendan Donovan has posted a .335 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 75th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Teoscar Hernandez has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 14.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 7.7% over the last 7 days.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Masyn Winn will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage today. Masyn Winn has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 90.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Tommy Pham is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Batting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Tommy Pham will have an advantage in today's matchup. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Freddie Freeman has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Freddie Freeman in today's game. In the last two weeks, Freddie Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 91.8 mph to 85.4 mph.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Batting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Pedro Pages will have an advantage today. Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Kike Hernandez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kike Hernandez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last season's 88.2-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Kike Hernandez has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21° mark over the past two weeks. Kike Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 38% to 43.5%.

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage against Justin Wrobleski today. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Walker will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Gavin Lux will have an advantage in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Batting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today. In the last week's worth of games, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.7-mph over the course of the season to 91.9-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Batting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Willson Contreras will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage today.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year's 87.4-mph figure. In the last week, Kevin Kiermaier's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 92.9-mph in recent games. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kevin Kiermaier's true offensive ability to be a .273, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .033 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .240 wOBA.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°. Miguel Rojas has exhibited good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 79th percentile with a 1.98 K/BB rate. Grading out in the 76th percentile, Miguel Rojas has put up a .267 batting average this year.

Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.