St. Louis @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Burleson in today's game.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Victor Scott will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers in today's game... and moreover, Spiers has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball hitters like Victor Scott generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Emilio Pagan. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

Carson Spiers will hold the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Spiers's large platoon split. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masyn Winn today. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.7-mph mark last year has dropped off to 87.2-mph. In the last week, Masyn Winn's 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Masyn Winn's true offensive talent to be a .291, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .027 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .318 wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #6 park in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jonathan India pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers today... and even more favorably, Spiers has a large platoon split. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The #6 park in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #6 park in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme groundball hitters like Tommy Pham usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Emilio Pagan. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

Ty France's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ty France will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ty France has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 93.4-mph.

T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an edge today. T.J. Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The #6 park in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Noelvi Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Noelvi Marte has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 87-mph figure. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Noelvi Marte's true offensive ability to be a .292, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .066 difference between that mark and his actual .226 wOBA.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's RF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #6 park in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #6 park in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (37.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.3% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the past 14 days.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Will Benson will have an edge in today's matchup. Will Benson will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Last year, Will Benson had an average launch angle of 14.5° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage against Carson Spiers today... and the cherry on top, Spiers has a large platoon split. Batters such as Lars Nootbaar with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Emilio Pagan who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage today. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jake Fraley will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The #6 park in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brendan Donovan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers today... and moreover, Spiers has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #6 park in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Willson Contreras has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.