Final Aug 12
SEA 1 -144 o9.0
BAL 0 +132 u9.0
Final Aug 12
MIA 3 +118 o8.5
CLE 4 -128 u8.5
Final Aug 12
PHI 1 -131 o9.0
CIN 6 +121 u9.0
Final Aug 12
MIN 1 +185 o9.0
NYY 9 -204 u9.0
Final Aug 12
CHC 1 +110 o9.0
TOR 5 -119 u9.0
Final Aug 12
ATL 5 +126 o8.0
NYM 13 -137 u8.0
Final Aug 12
DET 6 -161 o8.5
CHW 9 +148 u8.5
Final Aug 12
PIT 0 +121 o6.5
MIL 14 -132 u6.5
Final Aug 12
WAS 5 +168 o9.0
KC 8 -184 u9.0
Final Aug 12
COL 3 +171 o8.5
STL 0 -187 u8.5
Final Aug 12
AZ 3 +135 o8.5
TEX 2 -146 u8.5
Final Aug 12
BOS 14 -105 o9.0
HOU 1 -103 u9.0
Final (10) Aug 12
LAD 6 -157 o10.0
LAA 7 +144 u10.0
Final Aug 12
SD 5 +104 o7.5
SF 1 -113 u7.5
Final Aug 12
TB 0 -103 o9.5
ATH 6 -105 u9.5
Bally Sports Network, NESN

Texas @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

Corey Seager
C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

Rob Refsnyder
R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Given Jose Urena's large platoon split, Rob Refsnyder will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today. Rob Refsnyder's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 77-mph over the past week. In the past two weeks, Rob Refsnyder's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47.3%.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Given Jose Urena's large platoon split, Rob Refsnyder will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today. Rob Refsnyder's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 77-mph over the past week. In the past two weeks, Rob Refsnyder's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47.3%.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

Marcus Semien
M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Marcus Semien usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Kutter Crawford. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 21.1% to 15.7%.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Marcus Semien usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Kutter Crawford. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 21.1% to 15.7%.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

Masataka Yoshida
M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

This year, Masataka Yoshida has been pulled from the game early in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Typically, batters like Masataka Yoshida who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jose Urena. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

This year, Masataka Yoshida has been pulled from the game early in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Typically, batters like Masataka Yoshida who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jose Urena. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today. Rafael Devers has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 14.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 7.1% in the past week. Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 96.3-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 86.7-mph in the past 7 days. Rafael Devers's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (4.1° over the past week) is quite a bit worse than his 11.3° seasonal angle.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today. Rafael Devers has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 14.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 7.1% in the past week. Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 96.3-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 86.7-mph in the past 7 days. Rafael Devers's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (4.1° over the past week) is quite a bit worse than his 11.3° seasonal angle.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Texas

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Josh H. Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh H. Smith
J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Josh Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Josh Smith will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford today. Josh Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Josh H. Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Josh Smith will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford today. Josh Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Jung
J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung as the 17th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability. Fenway Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 50% on the season to 44.4% in the past week's worth of games.

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung as the 17th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability. Fenway Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 50% on the season to 44.4% in the past week's worth of games.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

Dominic Smith
D. Smith
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Given Jose Urena's large platoon split, Dominic Smith will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week, Dominic Smith's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 33.3%.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Given Jose Urena's large platoon split, Dominic Smith will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week, Dominic Smith's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 33.3%.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

David Hamilton
D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

David Hamilton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Because of Jose Urena's large platoon split, David Hamilton will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. David Hamilton will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

David Hamilton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Because of Jose Urena's large platoon split, David Hamilton will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. David Hamilton will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

Wilyer Abreu
W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Urena in today's matchup... and moreover, Urena has a large platoon split. Wilyer Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilyer Abreu tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Urena.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Urena in today's matchup... and moreover, Urena has a large platoon split. Wilyer Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilyer Abreu tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Urena.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

Wyatt Langford
W. Langford
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Fenway Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. In the past week's worth of games, Wyatt Langford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph recently.

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Fenway Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. In the past week's worth of games, Wyatt Langford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph recently.

Adolis García Total Hits Props • Texas

Adolis García
A. García
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Adolis García

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong
C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. Connor Wong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. Connor Wong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

Jonah Heim
J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

Leody Taveras
L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Leody Taveras has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Leody Taveras has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.9% seasonal rate to 11.8% over the past two weeks.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Leody Taveras has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Leody Taveras has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.9% seasonal rate to 11.8% over the past two weeks.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Texas

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Fenway Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Carson Kelly hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Carson Kelly has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last season's 90.3-mph figure.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Carson Kelly hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Carson Kelly has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last season's 90.3-mph figure.

Nick Sogard Total Hits Props • Boston

Nick Sogard
N. Sogard
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nick Sogard pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Nick Sogard will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Nick Sogard has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 68.8% of the time over the last 14 days.

Nick Sogard

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park grades out as the #6 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nick Sogard pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Nick Sogard will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Nick Sogard has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 68.8% of the time over the last 14 days.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 40.2% on the season to 63.6% over the past week.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 40.2% on the season to 63.6% over the past week.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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