Baltimore @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The #3 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the strongest among every team playing today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson today.

The #3 venue in the league for suppressing base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. Zach Eflin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz today. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (-0.1°) is considerably worse than his 4.9° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Siri will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jose Siri has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure. This season, Jose Siri has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.7 mph compared to last year's 94 mph mark.

Dylan Carlson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. In Major League Baseball, Tropicana Field's RF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Dylan Carlson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Dylan Carlson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.1-mph mark. Last year, Dylan Carlson had an average launch angle of 15° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 24.4°.

Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Compared to his seasonal figure of 23.4°, Cedric Mullins II has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (10.7°) over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Ramon Urias has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ramon Urias has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 91.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand today. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Brandon Lowe's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (18.8°) is a significant increase over his 13.9° angle last year.

Using Statcast metrics, James McCann is in the 79th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .266.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. In Major League Baseball, Tropicana Field's RF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand today. Over the last 14 days, Jackson Holliday's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.7% up to 35.3%. Jackson Holliday has been hot lately, notching a 96.8-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ranking in the 76th percentile, Ryan Mountcastle has put up a .269 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage today. Christopher Morel has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.1% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 95.7-mph in the past 7 days.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Anthony Santander's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.9-mph in recent games. Anthony Santander's launch angle this season (23.7°) is quite a bit better than his 20° mark last season. Anthony Santander's launch angle of late (29.2° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 23.7° seasonal mark.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Colton Cowser is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's game. Colton Cowser has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past 14 days, Colton Cowser's 55.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.4%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Adley Rutschman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Adley Rutschman's launch angle this year (18°) is a considerable increase over his 12.5° mark last year. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 48% on the season to 57.1% in the past two weeks.

In Major League Baseball, Tropicana Field's RF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Taylor Walls will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Taylor Walls has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 2.6% seasonal rate to 9.1% in the past week's worth of games.

Ben Rortvedt is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an edge in today's matchup. Ben Rortvedt has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Ben Rortvedt has posted a .361 BABIP this year.

Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Jose Caballero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph recently. Jose Caballero's launch angle of late (33° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 13.6° seasonal figure. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 39.5% to 45.7%.

Coby Mayo has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Kameron Misner has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 8 games.