Philadelphia @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Nick Ahmed will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Last year, Nick Ahmed had an average launch angle of 11.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.9°. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nick Ahmed has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 36.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.9°.

The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.2°, Austin Hays has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.1° angle over the past 14 days. In the past 7 days, Austin Hays's maximum exit velocity (a favorable measure of recent form and raw power) has been 108.5-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game. Ranking in the 77th percentile, Austin Hays has posted a .321 BABIP this year.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Gavin Stone in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 17.9% to 21.4%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in the game. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage in today's game. Bryce Harper has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 91.1-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 12th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (19.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 14.7° seasonal mark.

The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Phillips today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage today. Kevin Kiermaier has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 87.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Gavin Lux will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, J.T. Realmuto has had bad variance on his side this year. His .300 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .327. Posting a .326 BABIP this year, J.T. Realmuto finds himself in the 80th percentile.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today. Kyle Schwarber has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 13% seasonal rate to 29.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the past 14 days, Kyle Schwarber's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph recently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 10th-best hitter in baseball. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Batting from the same side that Gavin Stone throws from, Alec Bohm encounters a tough challenge today. Today, Alec Bohm is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40% rate (97th percentile). Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Bohm in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal figure of 11.2°, Alec Bohm has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.7°) over the past 14 days. Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has experienced some positive variance given the .028 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

Austin Barnes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Austin Barnes will hold that advantage today.

Bryson Stott's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today. Bryson Stott has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph to 88.6-mph in the past week. Bryson Stott's launch angle this season (14.7°) is a significant increase over his 9.9° figure last year.

Kike Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Kike Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Kike Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Kike Hernandez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph figure.

Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Phillips today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage today. Jason Heyward has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 84th percentile with a 1.93 K/BB rate.

Gavin Stone will hold the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner in today's matchup. Trea Turner has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days. Trea Turner's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 89.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 79.7-mph in the past week. Over the last 14 days, Trea Turner's 21.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Nick Castellanos has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .240 BA is a fair amount lower than his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage today. Andy Pages's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 16% on the season to 30% in the last two weeks. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.325) provides evidence that Andy Pages has suffered from bad luck this year with his .292 actual wOBA.

Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.