San Diego @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Dylan Cease in this game.

Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-deepest LF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jurickson Profar's true offensive ability to be a .322, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .058 deviation between that mark and his actual .380 wOBA.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Rowdy Tellez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Joey Bart is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Joey Bart has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.1% to 20.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's game. Jared Triolo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph average.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.296) provides evidence that Tyler Wade has had bad variance on his side this year with his .260 actual wOBA. Tyler Wade is in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.6% rate since the start of last season).

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences among all stadiums — generally bad for HRs. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 5.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days. Xander Bogaerts's launch angle of late (-12.4° in the last week's worth of games) is a significant dropoff from his 11.5° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Over the past week, Jackson Merrill's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 23.1%. Jackson Merrill has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 93-mph.

Bailey Falter will have the handedness advantage against Luis Arraez today. Luis Arraez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph dropping to 83.1-mph in the past week's worth of games. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph EV last year has dropped off to 87.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Ke'Bryan Hayes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 5.1°, Ke'Bryan Hayes has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 30.8° mark over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Bryan De La Cruz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 40% to 47.3%.

Donovan Solano's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Donovan Solano is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Donovan Solano will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Andrew McCutchen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Ha-seong Kim will have an advantage in today's matchup. Ha-seong Kim has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .223 rate is a good deal lower than his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 1.36 K/BB rate this year, Ha-seong Kim has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 97th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Manny Machado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter today.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Luis Campusano will have an advantage in today's game.