LIVE Top 5th Aug 17
SEA 1 -115 o8.0
NYM 3 +107 u8.0
Final Aug 17
PHI 11 -193 o9.5
WAS 9 +176 u9.5
Final Aug 17
MIA 5 +222 o8.5
BOS 3 -248 u8.5
Final Aug 17
TEX 10 +104 o7.5
TOR 4 -113 u7.5
Final Aug 17
ATL 5 +104 o9.0
CLE 4 -112 u9.0
Final (10) Aug 17
MIL 2 +110 o9.0
CIN 3 -119 u9.0
Final Aug 17
BAL 12 +105 o8.5
HOU 0 -114 u8.5
Final Aug 17
CHW 2 +144 o9.5
KC 6 -157 u9.5
Final Aug 17
DET 1 -112 o9.0
MIN 8 +103 u9.0
Final Aug 17
NYY 8 -145 o8.5
STL 4 +134 u8.5
Final Aug 17
PIT 3 +164 o7.0
CHC 4 -179 u7.0
Final Aug 17
AZ 5 -137 o12.0
COL 6 +127 u12.0
Final (10) Aug 17
LAA 11 -104 o10.0
ATH 5 -104 u10.0
Final Aug 17
TB 1 +121 o7.0
SF 7 -131 u7.0
Final Aug 17
SD 4 +125 o9.0
LAD 5 -136 u9.0
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Chicago @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Hendricks will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. today. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.'s true offensive talent to be a .369, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .041 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .410 wOBA.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Kyle Hendricks will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. today. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.'s true offensive talent to be a .369, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .041 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .410 wOBA.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Salvador Perez will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. When it comes to his batting average, Salvador Perez has had positive variance on his side this year. His .278 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Salvador Perez will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. When it comes to his batting average, Salvador Perez has had positive variance on his side this year. His .278 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Adam Frazier
A. Frazier
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Adam Frazier has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 32% of the time. Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field dimensions in the majors. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Adam Frazier's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 87.2-mph EV last year has lowered to 85.1-mph.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Adam Frazier has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 32% of the time. Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field dimensions in the majors. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Adam Frazier's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 87.2-mph EV last year has lowered to 85.1-mph.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Vinnie Pasquantino
V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's deepest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Vinnie Pasquantino has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph dropping to 86.3-mph over the past two weeks. Placing in the 18th percentile, Vinnie Pasquantino has put up a .258 BABIP this year.

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's deepest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Vinnie Pasquantino has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph dropping to 86.3-mph over the past two weeks. Placing in the 18th percentile, Vinnie Pasquantino has put up a .258 BABIP this year.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brady Singer will hold the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (42.3% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Seiya Suzuki's launch angle lately (-2.5° in the last 7 days) is considerably worse than his 16° seasonal mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.238) suggests that Seiya Suzuki has had some very good luck this year with his .264 actual batting average.

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Brady Singer will hold the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (42.3% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Seiya Suzuki's launch angle lately (-2.5° in the last 7 days) is considerably worse than his 16° seasonal mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.238) suggests that Seiya Suzuki has had some very good luck this year with his .264 actual batting average.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Pete Crow-Armstrong's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer in today's game... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Pete Crow-Armstrong's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer in today's game... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Despite posting a .278 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has experienced some negative variance given the .047 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Despite posting a .278 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has experienced some negative variance given the .047 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Michael Busch
M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Michael Busch will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Michael Busch will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Mike Tauchman Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Mike Tauchman
M. Tauchman
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Mike Tauchman will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Mike Tauchman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Mike Tauchman will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Nico Hoerner will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Nico Hoerner has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 88.6 mph to 84.2 mph. In the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-3.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 2.6°.

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Nico Hoerner will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Nico Hoerner has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 88.6 mph to 84.2 mph. In the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-3.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 2.6°.

Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Miguel Amaya
M. Amaya
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Miguel Amaya

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Miles Mastrobuoni Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Miles Mastrobuoni
M. Mastrobuoni
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Miles Mastrobuoni will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split. In terms of his batting average, Miles Mastrobuoni has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .226 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260.

Miles Mastrobuoni

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Miles Mastrobuoni will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split. In terms of his batting average, Miles Mastrobuoni has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .226 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260.

Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Garrett Hampson
G. Hampson
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Garrett Hampson's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Garrett Hampson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Garrett Hampson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Garrett Hampson's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Garrett Hampson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Nick Loftin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nick Loftin
N. Loftin
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Loftin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) may lead us to conclude that Nick Loftin has had some very poor luck this year with his .194 actual batting average.

Nick Loftin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Loftin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) may lead us to conclude that Nick Loftin has had some very poor luck this year with his .194 actual batting average.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Michael Massey
M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Massey is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Massey will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks today.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Michael Massey is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Massey will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks today.

Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Hunter Renfroe
H. Renfroe
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to plate discipline, Hunter Renfroe's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.74 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 87th percentile.

Hunter Renfroe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to plate discipline, Hunter Renfroe's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.74 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 87th percentile.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Drew Waters
D. Waters
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Drew Waters will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Kyle Hendricks.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Drew Waters will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Kyle Hendricks.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Kyle Isbel
K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hendricks in today's matchup. Kyle Isbel is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hendricks in today's matchup. Kyle Isbel is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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// Scripts for MLB A/B test