Baltimore @ Miami Picks & Props
BAL vs MIA Picks
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BAL vs MIA Consensus Picks
77% picking Baltimore
Total PicksBAL 544, MIA 167
71% picking Baltimore vs Miami to go Over
Total PicksBAL 291, MIA 118
BAL vs MIA Props
Ali Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Ali Sanchez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami
Nick Gordon's BABIP talent is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. Batting from the opposite that Chayce McDermott throws from, Nick Gordon will have an edge today. Nick Gordon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Nick Gordon will hold that advantage in today's game.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today's game. This season, Bryan De La Cruz has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.9 mph compared to last year's 92.4 mph mark.
Ramón Urías Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today. Ramon Urias has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 77th percentile with a 2.08 K/BB rate. In notching a .325 BABIP since the start of last season, Ramon Urias finds himself in the 86th percentile.
Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have an advantage in today's game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today. Cedric Mullins II has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.6°, Cedric Mullins II has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 32° mark in the last week's worth of games.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage today. Over the last week, Jake Burger's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.8% up to 20%.
Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Jordan Westburg's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today. Jordan Westburg has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.5% rate last season to 11.8% this year.
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. Xavier Edwards will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Posting a 2.1 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Xavier Edwards has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 80th percentile. Xavier Edwards has posted a .314 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 98th percentile.
Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today. Adley Rutschman's launch angle this year (18.1°) is significantly higher than his 12.5° mark last season.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.312) implies that Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .272 actual wOBA.
Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today's game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Heston Kjerstad Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Heston Kjerstad is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have the upper hand in today's game. Heston Kjerstad hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today. Anthony Santander is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Miami (#3-worst of all teams on the slate today). Anthony Santander has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.2% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 7 days.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last week, Josh Bell's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.
Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Chayce McDermott today. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore
When assessing his BABIP skill, Colton Cowser is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today. Colton Cowser's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 47.2% on the season to 62.5% in the last 7 days.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Nick Fortes will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive ability to be a .270, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .062 deviation between that mark and his actual .208 wOBA.
Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage over Edward Cabrera in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Vidal Brujan Total Hits Props • Miami
Vidal Brujan has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
BAL vs MIA Trends
Baltimore Trends
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 29 of their last 48 away games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 85 games (+11.85 Units / 11% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 away games (+7.15 Units / 23% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-21.25 Units / -21% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 100 games (-16.85 Units / -14% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 53 games (-10.80 Units / -18% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 26 games (-10.20 Units / -27% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 26 games (-8.75 Units / -23% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games at home (+12.60 Units / 25% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 83 games (+12.40 Units / 13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 96 games (+10.10 Units / 9% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games at home (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 100 games (-33.75 Units / -29% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 78 games (-27.35 Units / -33% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 96 games (-23.55 Units / -21% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 54 games at home (-22.95 Units / -39% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-22.90 Units / -23% ROI)
BAL vs MIA Top User Picks
Baltimore Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +31435 |
| 2 | stumpmaker | 4-5-1 | +24450 |
| 3 | reddog6008 | 7-2-1 | +20117 |
| 4 | coach_d5 | 7-3-0 | +18885 |
| 5 | jnc3lb | 5-5-0 | +16895 |
| 6 | mccabe40 | 3-7-0 | +16810 |
| 7 | MLBFan8848 | 5-5-0 | +16285 |
| 8 | R_MUNDO | 4-6-0 | +16065 |
| 9 | Enelra18 | 4-5-1 | +15445 |
| 10 | Queefs4 | 5-4-1 | +15185 |
| All Orioles Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||