Baltimore @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. In terms of his batting average, Jorge Mateo has experienced some negative variance this year. His .230 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.93 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is quite fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today's game. Bryan De La Cruz has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP. Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Tyler today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Cedric Mullins II has been unlucky this year, posting a .273 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .038 disparity. Cedric Mullins II's 23.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 99th percentile.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Colton Cowser is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Tyler today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Colton Cowser has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph dropping to 89.4-mph over the past week.

Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP. Josh Bell will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Josh Bell's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.7-mph lately. In the past two weeks, Josh Bell's 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jake Burger will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Jake Burger's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Otto Lopez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.318) suggests that Otto Lopez has had bad variance on his side this year with his .275 actual wOBA.

Nick Gordon's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP. Nick Gordon will have the handedness advantage against Albert Suarez today. Nick Gordon hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Gordon will hold that advantage in today's game.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Kyle Tyler throws from, Jordan Westburg encounters a tough challenge in today's game. Jordan Westburg will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Jordan Westburg has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 17th percentile with a 4.2 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jesus Sanchez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Anthony Santander is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Miami (#1-worst on the slate). Over the last 7 days, Anthony Santander's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 104.2-mph of late.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Ali Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. In the last week's worth of games, Adley Rutschman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 20%.

Heston Kjerstad's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP. Heston Kjerstad will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Tyler in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Xavier Edwards's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's game. Grading out in the 80th percentile, Xavier Edwards has posted a .330 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season. Xavier Edwards has compiled a .319 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Tyler throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge in today's game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 15th-best batter in the majors. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Tyler throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

LoanDepot Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Nick Fortes will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .208 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has suffered from bad luck given the .062 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .270.

Vidal Brujan has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.