Miami @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

In the last 7 days, Jeimer Candelario's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%. Jeimer Candelario's launch angle lately (5.1° in the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 13° seasonal mark. When it comes to plate discipline, Jeimer Candelario's talent is quite poor, sporting a 3.87 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 20th percentile.

The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Emmanuel Rivera has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Emmanuel Rivera has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 89-mph.

Edwin Rios is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Edwin Rios will have the handedness advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Edwin Rios will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. In the league, Great American Ball Park's RF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Carson Spiers... and even better, Spiers has a large platoon split. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xavier Edwards has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (92% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. In the league, Great American Ball Park's RF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Because of Carson Spiers's large platoon split, Nick Gordon will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play, and Nick Gordon's 23.8° mark (99th percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.

In the past 7 days, Elly De La Cruz's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 93.8 mph to 77.8 mph. Elly De La Cruz's launch angle recently (-2.3° in the last week) is quite a bit lower than his 9.8° seasonal figure. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz's true offensive skill to be a .327, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .021 disparity between that mark and his actual .348 wOBA.

The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Bell has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Yonny Chirinos will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Stephenson in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson has recorded a .262 BABIP this year, ranking in the 21st percentile.

Batting from the same side that Yonny Chirinos throws from, Jonathan India faces a tough challenge in today's game. Jonathan India's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92.4-mph figure last season has dropped off to 86.8-mph. Jonathan India's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 86.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 80.8-mph over the past week. Jonathan India's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 14.8% on the season to 8.6% over the last 14 days. Jonathan India has been lucky this year, putting up a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .021 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Burger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers in today's game... and even better, Spiers has a large platoon split.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Nick Fortes has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 32.5° figure in the last week's worth of games. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive talent to be a .271, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .073 deviation between that figure and his actual .198 wOBA.

Carson Spiers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan De La Cruz in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Spiers's large platoon split. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryan De La Cruz in today's game. Sporting a 4.1 K/BB rate this year, Bryan De La Cruz has shown bad plate discipline, ranking in the 17th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 6th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's game. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 6th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Will Benson will have the handedness advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 6th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Will Benson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 6th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Rece Hinds will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.