Oakland @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst field in the game for righty BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Alec Bohm's 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%. Alec Bohm has been lucky this year, putting up a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .024 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst field in the game for righty BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. In the last week, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 93.7-mph recently.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 venue in the majors for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Hogan Harris will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Harper in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.367) implies that Bryce Harper has been lucky this year with his .401 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst field in the game for righty BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.281) suggests that Trea Turner has had some very good luck this year with his .348 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. This game is projected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Zack Gelof is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. This game is projected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Zack Gelof will have an edge today.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. This game is projected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Cristian Pache will have the handedness advantage over Hogan Harris today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Cristian Pache will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cristian Pache's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 27.84 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.38 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is projected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Brent Rooker will have an edge in today's game. Brent Rooker pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. This game is projected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Shea Langeliers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 7th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Daz Cameron is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. This game is projected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Daz Cameron will have an advantage today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 7th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. This game is projected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Armando Alvarez will have an edge today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 7th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Miguel Andujar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. This game is projected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Miguel Andujar will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's game. Miguel Andujar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. This game is projected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Tyler Nevin will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 7th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Tyler Nevin's footspeed has increased this season. His 25.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.29 ft/sec now.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (85%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Hogan Harris throws from, Johan Rojas will have an edge in today's matchup. Johan Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Johan Rojas's true offensive skill to be a .276, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .026 difference between that mark and his actual .250 wOBA.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. This game is projected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Brett Harris will have an edge today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 7th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. The standard deviation of Brett Harris's launch angle has been very consistent in recent games (37.2° over the last 7 days), which is a proxy for reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (85%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Whit Merrifield will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hogan Harris in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. This game is projected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Hogan Harris throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an edge in today's game. Edmundo Sosa will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. This game is projected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brandon Marsh has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jeffrey Bleday has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.