Miami @ Houston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 9th-worst field in the majors for right-handed base hits. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Roddery Munoz will have the handedness advantage against Yainer Diaz today. In today's game, Yainer Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.8% rate (82nd percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 9th-worst field in the majors for right-handed base hits. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Hitting from the same side that Roddery Munoz throws from, Jose Altuve will have a tough challenge today. Jose Altuve has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. In the past 14 days, Xavier Edwards's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 30.4% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Joey Loperfido will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Roddery Munoz in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage today.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jake Bloss.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the last week, Jake Burger's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph of late. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Burger's true offensive talent to be a .323, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .060 deviation between that figure and his actual .263 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Meyers will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Meyers has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.8-mph.

Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Nick Fortes's launch angle recently (10.3° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 13.3° seasonal figure. Despite posting a .198 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has had bad variance on his side given the .073 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .271.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Bloss throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today's game. Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Over the last 7 days, Jesus Sanchez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13% up to 27.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Alex Bregman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Alex Bregman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 90.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Bryan De La Cruz has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.6% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 7 days. Bryan De La Cruz has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 92.8-mph in the last two weeks. Last year, Bryan De La Cruz had an average launch angle of 12.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.7°.

Nick Gordon will have the handedness advantage over Jake Bloss today. The standard deviation of Nick Gordon's launch angle this year (23.8°) is in the 98th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Josh Bell has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Josh Bell's launch angle this season (12.1°) is considerably better than his 8.7° angle last year. Josh Bell's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (25.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 12.8° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trey Cabbage in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Trey Cabbage will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Roddery Munoz in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Trey Cabbage will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Jeremy Pena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Roddery Munoz throws from, Cesar Salazar will have the upper hand in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Miami's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Cesar Salazar, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Cesar Salazar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jon Singleton has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Roddery Munoz throws from, Jon Singleton will have the upper hand in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jon Singleton will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Jon Singleton's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Mauricio Dubon's launch angle from last year's 9.7° to 14.1° this season. Mauricio Dubon's launch angle in recent games (24.9° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 14.1° seasonal angle.

Chas McCormick has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.