Oakland @ Boston Picks & Props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. In the last 7 days, Jarren Duran's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%. Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, putting up a .348 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .017 gap.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.353) provides evidence that Rafael Devers has experienced some positive variance this year with his .395 actual wOBA.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. Tanner Houck will hold the platoon advantage over Miguel Andujar today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Houck's large platoon split. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams playing today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Miguel Andujar in today's game. In the last two weeks, Miguel Andujar's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 83.5 mph to 80.9 mph.

Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The #6 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Lawrence Butler will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brent Rooker is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 park in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 park in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Zack Gelof's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Zack Gelof is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 park in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The #6 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Tyler Soderstrom will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and moreover, Houck has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Connor Wong is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 park in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°.

J.J. Bleday is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The #6 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. J.J. Bleday will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even more favorably, Houck has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The #6 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Medina today.

Fenway Park grades out as the #6 park in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Brett Harris has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 91-mph.

The #6 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Kyle McCann will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Kyle McCann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 park in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

David Hamilton has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The #6 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

The #6 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Medina throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage today. Wilyer Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The #6 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Medina today. Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Reese McGuire has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.