Oakland @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Jarren Duran has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 93.6-mph over the last 7 days. Jarren Duran's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 46.1% on the season to 24.2% over the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .330, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .017 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .347 wOBA.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Miguel Andujar will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Miguel Andujar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Miguel Andujar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 83.5 mph to 80.9 mph.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Rafael Devers has had some very good luck this year. His .398 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .347.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Brent Rooker will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Brent Rooker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. As it relates to his batting average, Brent Rooker has been lucky this year. His .278 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Joey Estes will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler O'Neill in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 14.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.224) implies that Tyler O'Neill has been very fortunate this year with his .260 actual batting average.

Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #6 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Tyler Soderstrom will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello today... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The #6 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Estes in today's game.

J.J. Bleday is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The #6 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. J.J. Bleday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split.

The #6 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Lawrence Butler will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Lawrence Butler has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Connor Wong is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°.

Zack Gelof's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Fenway Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Over the last week, Brett Harris's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 93.1-mph of late.

Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Shea Langeliers pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The #6 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Joey Estes throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

David Hamilton is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #6 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The #6 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage against Joey Estes in today's game. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.