Texas @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

This game is forecasted to have the 9th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corey Seager today. Corey Seager's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 95.9-mph average last season has fallen off to 93.9-mph.

This game is forecasted to have the 9th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the same side that Davis Daniel throws from, Marcus Semien encounters a tough challenge in today's game. Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (37.7% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Marcus Semien in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage today. Jo Adell has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .183 BA is a fair amount lower than his .227 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP. Wyatt Langford has compiled a .338 BABIP this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

Kevin Pillar is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kevin Pillar will hold that advantage in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Kevin Pillar's launch angle from last season's 17.7° to 21° this year. Ranking in the 80th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.41 ft/sec this year, Kevin Pillar is quite toolsy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Taylor Ward has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.3% last year to 15.1% this season.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Josh Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Davis Daniel today. Josh Smith will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Los Angeles Angels only has 1 same-handed RP. Josh Smith has compiled a .360 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Keston Hiura's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Keston Hiura has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP. Keston Hiura will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage in today's game. Zach Neto's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (24° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 17.3° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Rendon in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Anthony Rendon is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Rendon will hold that advantage in today's game. Anthony Rendon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 16% to 23%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Jon Gray in today's game... and even more favorably, Gray has a large platoon split. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mickey Moniak will hold that advantage today. Mickey Moniak has been unlucky this year, compiling a .238 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .058 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP. Brandon Drury will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 2.9°, Brandon Drury has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 27.7° figure in the past week's worth of games. Brandon Drury has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .216 figure is a good deal lower than his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP. Adolis Garcia has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 94.1-mph in the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive skill to be a .323, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .026 gap between that mark and his actual .297 wOBA.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Davis Daniel in today's game. The Los Angeles Angels have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Nathaniel Lowe has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 88.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Because of Jon Gray's large platoon split, Nolan Schanuel will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Nolan Schanuel may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP.

Willie Calhoun is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Considering Jon Gray's large platoon split, Willie Calhoun will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Willie Calhoun is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Willie Calhoun will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Leody Taveras has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 89.4-mph. Leody Taveras's launch angle this season (13.7°) is a considerable increase over his 9.9° mark last year. In the last two weeks, Leody Taveras's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.8%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Logan O'Hoppe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP. Logan O'Hoppe will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Logan O'Hoppe's launch angle recently (18.7° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 14° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Jonah Heim has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 13.8% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Daniel throws from, Travis Jankowski will have an advantage in today's matchup. Travis Jankowski is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Los Angeles Angels only has 1 same-handed RP. Travis Jankowski's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (5.5°) is quite a bit better than his 1.1° angle last year. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.266) suggests that Travis Jankowski has been unlucky this year with his .238 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Given Jon Gray's large platoon split, Luis Guillorme will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Luis Guillorme is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Guillorme will hold that advantage in today's game.