St. Louis @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Nolan Gorman is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Pittsburgh (#2-worst of all teams on the slate today).

PNC Park has the 8th-most fair ground in MLB — generally bad for HRs. Batting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Masyn Winn will have a disadvantage in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Masyn Winn today. Masyn Winn's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 86.1-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 80.4-mph over the last 7 days. From last season to this one, Masyn Winn's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 89.7 mph to 85.9 mph.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game. Jack Suwinski will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.5°, Jack Suwinski has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.7°) over the past 14 days.

PNC Park has the 8th-most fair ground in MLB — generally bad for HRs. Among all the teams today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. In the last 7 days, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.2% down to 0%.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Alec Burleson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time. In today's matchup, Alec Burleson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (79th percentile). Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Burleson today. Alec Burleson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 46.2% on the season to 20% in the last week. Despite posting a .333 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Burleson has had some very good luck given the .021 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas today.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Joey Bart will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Joey Bart's speed has improved this season. His 26.21 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.13 ft/sec now.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Compared to his seasonal average of 19°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 30.3° mark in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke'Bryan Hayes's true offensive ability to be a .303, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .035 disparity between that figure and his actual .268 wOBA.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Andrew McCutchen will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Edward Olivares is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Edward Olivares will hold that advantage in today's game.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Matt Carpenter will have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. In the past two weeks, Matt Carpenter has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 25.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.4°.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Brandon Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brandon Crawford has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .260 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .291.