Miami @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

17% of the time that Otto Lopez has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Extreme flyball bats like Otto Lopez tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Otto Lopez in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Hitting from the same side that Yonny Chirinos throws from, Trea Turner has a tough challenge today. Over the past 7 days, Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 91.8 mph to 86.4 mph. In terms of his batting average, Trea Turner has had some very good luck this year. His .324 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Batting from the same side that Yonny Chirinos throws from, Alec Bohm will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. In the past week, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 90.7 mph to 88.7 mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 12°, Alec Bohm has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.4°) in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 90.7 mph to 83.9 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.3°, Bryson Stott's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-2.1° in the past 14 days). From last season to this one, Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.4% to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Yonny Chirinos will have the handedness advantage over Nick Castellanos today. Nick Castellanos has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week. Nick Castellanos's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 87.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 81.9-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Tim Anderson is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Tim Anderson will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Yonny Chirinos throws from, David Dahl will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Whit Merrifield's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Emmanuel Rivera will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Emmanuel Rivera's true offensive talent to be a .303, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .065 gap between that figure and his actual .238 wOBA.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Yonny Chirinos throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Ali Sanchez will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Nick Fortes will have an advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .187 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has been unlucky given the .083 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .270.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Dane Myers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game.

Jesús Sánchez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.