Washington @ Tampa Bay props

The #3 ballpark in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among every team playing today. Washington's #3-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Yandy Diaz, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Last season, Yandy Diaz had a launch angle of 4.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just -0.5°.

The #3 ballpark in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Amed Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among every team playing today. Amed Rosario's launch angle this season (3.9°) is quite a bit lower than his 7.5° figure last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Jesse Winker will have an edge today. Jesse Winker has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.8% seasonal rate to 23.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Batting from the same side that Patrick Corbin throws from, Randy Arozarena will not have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Randy Arozarena has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 94.2-mph.

The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Tropicana Field. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Patrick Corbin Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage today.

Jose Siri's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Siri is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Hitting from the same side that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jose Siri will be at a disadvantage today. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Tropicana Field. Compared to last year, Nick Senzel has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.4% to 22.3% this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) implies that Nick Senzel has suffered from bad luck this year with his .211 actual batting average. Nick Senzel has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 81st percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jacob Young has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Young has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.6-mph to 86.8-mph over the last two weeks. Sporting a .281 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jacob Young is ranked in the 89th percentile. Jacob Young has recorded a .336 BABIP this year, placing in the 85th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Lane Thomas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Lane Thomas pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Lane Thomas has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 94.6-mph in the last week. Lane Thomas's launch angle this season (18.8°) is considerably better than his 10.6° mark last year.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Taj Bradley in today's game. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this season (20.8°) is significantly better than his 15.1° mark last year. Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky this year, compiling a .237 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .058 gap.

CJ Abrams's batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage today. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Compared to last season, CJ Abrams has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40.1% to 48.5% this season.

Batting from the same side that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jose Caballero will have a disadvantage in today's game. Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today. Compared to last year, Jose Caballero has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.5% to 44.7% this season. Grading out in the 87th percentile, Jose Caballero has notched a .338 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Joey Meneses has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Joey Meneses has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92.2-mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Meneses's true offensive ability to be a .301, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .033 difference between that mark and his actual .268 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Ramirez as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average ability. Harold Ramirez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Harold Ramirez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Harold Ramirez's true offensive skill to be a .309, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .038 gap between that mark and his actual .271 wOBA. Posting a .345 BABIP this year, Harold Ramirez grades out in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Luis Garcia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Luis Garcia will have an edge in today's matchup. Luis Garcia has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Luis Garcia has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .301 mark is considerably lower than his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Patrick Corbin will have the handedness advantage over Isaac Paredes in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (45.8% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes's launch angle of late (36.1° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 23.6° seasonal mark.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. The switch-hitting Drew Millas will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Taj Bradley. Ranking in the 79th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.33 ft/sec this year, Drew Millas is quite quick.

Hitting from the same side that Patrick Corbin throws from, Alex Jackson faces a tough challenge in today's game. Alex Jackson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Jackson's true offensive skill to be a .273, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .134 disparity between that figure and his actual .139 wOBA.

Ildemaro Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. In terms of plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.38 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 95th percentile.