Miami @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The #7 field in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Roddery Munoz will have the handedness advantage over Trea Turner in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 92.2 mph to 87.3 mph. Trea Turner has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .331 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .273 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #7 field in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Batting from the same side that Roddery Munoz throws from, Alec Bohm faces a tough challenge in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Bohm's true offensive ability to be a .325, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .031 deviation between that mark and his actual .356 wOBA.

The #7 field in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Batting from the same side that Roddery Munoz throws from, Nick Castellanos will have a disadvantage today. Nick Castellanos has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph dropping to 85.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Nick Castellanos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 19.7% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

The #7 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 82.6-mph in the last two weeks. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 17.4% to 14.1%. In the past 14 days, Bryson Stott's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Roddery Munoz in today's game. Brandon Marsh has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Nick Gordon will have the upper hand in today's game. Nick Gordon has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last week. Nick Gordon's launch angle lately (21.4° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 6.2° seasonal angle.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Despite posting a .187 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has had bad variance on his side given the .083 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .270.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 4th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. In the last 14 days, Tim Anderson's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.4%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tim Anderson's true offensive talent to be a .285, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .073 gap between that mark and his actual .212 wOBA.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Roddery Munoz throws from, Kody Clemens will have an edge in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's game.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Garrett Stubbs will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Roddery Munoz in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today. Garrett Stubbs will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Otto Lopez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .274 mark is considerably lower than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Josh Bell has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Josh Bell has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week.

Whit Merrifield's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Bryan De La Cruz has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.4-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .265 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has been unlucky given the .060 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge today. Jesus Sanchez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-strongest of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his better side against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.