Cincinnati @ St. Louis Picks & Props

The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Will Benson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game. Will Benson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Noelvi Marte is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Noelvi Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Stuart Fairchild's launch angle this year (20°) is a significant increase over his 14.1° angle last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 20°, Stuart Fairchild has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 23° mark in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Alec Burleson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. Alec Burleson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Alec Burleson has been lucky this year, putting up a .334 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .021 discrepancy.

Carson Spiers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn today... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Spiers's large platoon split. In today's game, Masyn Winn is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.9% rate (76th percentile). Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.7-mph average last season has fallen off to 85.9-mph. Despite posting a .323 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Masyn Winn has had positive variance on his side given the .037 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .286.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Jonathan India has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph to 95.3-mph over the last week.

Jake Fraley is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Jake Fraley's 29.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Nick Martini will have the handedness advantage against Sonny Gray today. Nick Martini hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Carson Spiers in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Spiers has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage in today's game. Nolan Gorman's launch angle of late (48° over the past week) is a significant increase over his 20.4° seasonal figure.

The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Considering Carson Spiers's large platoon split, Matt Carpenter will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Matt Carpenter will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In the last week, Matt Carpenter's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14%.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 3rd-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Sonny Gray.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Brendan Donovan's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Donovan is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Brendan Donovan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers in today's matchup... and even better, Spiers has a large platoon split.

The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for batters.

The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.1°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 37° mark in the last week.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Spencer Steer has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week's worth of games.

Pedro Pagés has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.