World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksTEX 251, BAL 554
Total PicksTEX 246, BAL 204
Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Dane Dunning will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Westburg today... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Dunning's large platoon split. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers. Jordan Westburg's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 91.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 84.2-mph in the last week.
Given Dane Dunning's large platoon split, Ryan Mountcastle will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers. Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 94.6-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 87.3-mph over the last 7 days. In the past week, Ryan Mountcastle's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.5%.
Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's deepest LF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien today. Marcus Semien has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days. Marcus Semien's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 91-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 88.7-mph over the last two weeks.
18% of the time that Ryan O'Hearn has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers. Ryan O'Hearn has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Ryan O'Hearn's launch angle lately (5.9° over the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 10.9° seasonal angle.
In today's matchup, Gunnar Henderson is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.9% rate (76th percentile). Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers. Gunnar Henderson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.9-mph dropping to 91.9-mph over the last week. Compared to his seasonal figure of 10°, Gunnar Henderson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.1°) in the last two weeks. Despite posting a .418 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has had some very good luck given the .053 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .365.
Batting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Corey Seager will have an advantage in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager in today's matchup. From last season to this one, Corey Seager's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 95.9 mph to 93.9 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #8 park in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°.
Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #8 park in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 7th-strongest of the day for batters. Josh Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 park in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 7th-strongest of the day for batters. Nathaniel Lowe has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.4-mph figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Heston Kjerstad is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #8 park in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 park in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 7th-strongest of the day for batters. Albert Suarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Derek Hill in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 park in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 7th-strongest of the day for batters.
The #8 park in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 7th-strongest of the day for batters. Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Dunning has a large platoon split. Cedric Mullins II pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
As it relates to his BABIP talent, Colton Cowser is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 park in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 7th-strongest of the day for batters. Considering Dane Dunning's large platoon split, Colton Cowser will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.
Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The #8 park in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 7th-strongest of the day for batters. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 park in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 7th-strongest of the day for batters.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 park in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 7th-strongest of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will bat from his weak side (0) today against Albert Suarez
Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 park in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 7th-strongest of the day for batters. Ramon Urias has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage in today's game.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 park in baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 7th-strongest of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will bat from his bad side (0) today against Albert Suarez Robbie Grossman is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst of all teams on the slate today).
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KingScorpio | 7-3-0 | +24325 |
| 2 | mojonaciosoy | 8-2-0 | +20585 |
| 3 | bigosports12 | 7-3-0 | +19655 |
| 4 | hennryh | 7-3-0 | +17895 |
| 5 | Whiteyr | 4-6-0 | +17780 |
| 6 | MexicanBettor | 5-5-0 | +16866 |
| 7 | cameleon53 | 6-4-0 | +16495 |
| 8 | DODBUCKSTEEL | 5-5-0 | +15755 |
| 9 | chensucht | 6-4-0 | +15755 |
| 10 | dude18555 | 6-4-0 | +15415 |
| All Rangers Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +31435 |
| 2 | stumpmaker | 4-5-1 | +24450 |
| 3 | reddog6008 | 7-2-1 | +20117 |
| 4 | coach_d5 | 7-3-0 | +18885 |
| 5 | jnc3lb | 5-5-0 | +16895 |
| 6 | mccabe40 | 3-7-0 | +16810 |
| 7 | MLBFan8848 | 5-5-0 | +16285 |
| 8 | R_MUNDO | 4-6-0 | +16065 |
| 9 | Enelra18 | 4-5-1 | +15445 |
| 10 | Queefs4 | 5-4-1 | +15185 |
| All Orioles Money Leaders | |||