Arizona @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. Randal Grichuk will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Randal Grichuk has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days. Randal Grichuk's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (6.3°) is considerably lower than his 9.7° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 4th-worst venue in the league for lefty batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. Bryce Harper has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph dropping to 88.4-mph in the last week. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.360) implies that Bryce Harper has been lucky this year with his .389 actual wOBA.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. Slade Cecconi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm today. Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 88.5-mph over the last 14 days. Alec Bohm's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (3.9° in the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 9.9° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 4th-worst venue in the league for lefty batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. Kyle Schwarber's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 17.5% to 13%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.334) provides evidence that Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate this year with his .362 actual wOBA.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. Slade Cecconi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner today. Trea Turner's footspeed has declined this season. His 30.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.61 ft/sec now. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.263) provides evidence that Trea Turner has been very fortunate this year with his .340 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 93°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.6-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Corbin Carroll has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 93°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Eugenio Suarez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

Jake McCarthy's BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 93°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jake McCarthy has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 93°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Garrett Stubbs will have an advantage today. Garrett Stubbs will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte in today's matchup. There has been a significant decline in Ketel Marte's launch angle from last season's 10.6° to 7° this season. Over the last 7 days, Ketel Marte's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 93°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi today. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 93°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 93°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Slade Cecconi in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 93°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, David Dahl will have an edge in today's game. David Dahl will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 93°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Christian Walker will have an advantage in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 93°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Kevin Newman will have an advantage today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.