Arizona @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. In the last week's worth of games, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%. Trea Turner's launch angle of late (-3.3° in the last 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 12.9° seasonal mark. When it comes to his batting average, Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance this year. His .344 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Randal Grichuk pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Alec Bohm has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week. Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 88.5-mph over the last two weeks. Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has been very fortunate given the .031 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.6-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82.3-mph over the last week. Placing in the 23rd percentile, Nick Castellanos sits with a .259 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Jake McCarthy will have the upper hand today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 park in the majors for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Tommy Henry throws from, Bryce Harper will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Bryce Harper's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 91-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 88.9-mph in the last 7 days. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Bryce Harper has had some very good luck this year. His .388 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .359.

HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Tucker Barnhart will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today.

HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 37.1% to 47.5%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today. Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#2-worst of all teams today).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Whit Merrifield will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tommy Henry today.

HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Cristian Pache will have the handedness advantage over Tommy Henry in today's game. Cristian Pache will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Tommy Henry throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an edge today.