San Francisco @ Chicago Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Spencer Howard throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have a tough challenge in today's game.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Howard throws from, Nico Hoerner will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will be challenged by the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 4.2°, Nico Hoerner's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-5.6° in the past 14 days). Nico Hoerner has been cold recently, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) in the last two weeks. Nico Hoerner's 1.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 2nd percentile this year.

Kyle Hendricks will have the handedness advantage over Matt Chapman in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Chapman in today's game. This year, Matt Chapman's Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 17.2% last year to just 10.9% this year. Matt Chapman's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (7.8°) is a significant dropoff from his 13.3° figure last season. In the past 14 days, Matt Chapman's 4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.4%.

Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Over the past two weeks, Cody Bellinger's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 2.4%. Cody Bellinger's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 88.2-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Cody Bellinger's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 43.4% to 38.3%.

Kyle Hendricks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos in today's game. Heliot Ramos has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will be challenged by the game's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Heliot Ramos will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Despite posting a .404 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Heliot Ramos has been lucky given the .085 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Howard throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Thairo Estrada pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Howard today.

In the majors, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the majors, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Patrick Bailey has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 92.2-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.

Brett Wisely is penciled in 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Brett Wisely will have an edge today.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an edge in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.6% seasonal rate to 21.1% over the past 14 days.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Trenton Brooks will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Trenton Brooks has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Wilmer Flores has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nick Ahmed has not yet played a game this season.

Yan Gomes has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.