Miami @ San Diego Picks & Props

When assessing his BABIP ability, Tim Anderson is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Despite posting a .216 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tim Anderson has experienced some negative variance given the .075 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.

Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jesus Sanchez's true offensive ability to be a .315, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .054 deviation between that mark and his actual .261 wOBA. By putting up a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jesus Sanchez is positioned in the 77th percentile. Since the start of last season, Jesus Sanchez's 12.2% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gordon in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Nick Gordon will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game. Nick Gordon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.404) provides evidence that Jackson Merrill has had bad variance on his side this year with his .298 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, compiling a .237 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .093 discrepancy. In notching a .378 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jake Burger is positioned in the 95th percentile for offensive skills. Since the start of last season, Jake Burger's 16.4% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Luis Campusano will have an advantage in today's matchup. Luis Campusano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Luis Campusano will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the majors. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

Ha-seong Kim will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today. Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Ha-seong Kim will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .209 rate is a fair amount lower than his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the best pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jazz Chisholm Jr. in today's matchup. Sporting a .222 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jazz Chisholm Jr. is positioned in the 17th percentile. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is in the 5th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (36.2% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Out of all the teams today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Jake Cronenworth has suffered from bad luck this year. His .265 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .296.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Josh Bell's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) has been 114 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Bryan De La Cruz's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.287) suggests that Bryan De La Cruz has had positive variance on his side this year with his .320 actual wOBA. The standard deviation of Bryan De La Cruz's launch angle since the start of last season (25.9°) is in the 86th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play. Bryan De La Cruz has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial skill for batting average), grading out in the 89th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the best pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Trevor Rogers will have the handedness advantage against Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) is in the 10th percentile since the start of last season. Luis Arraez's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) has been 104 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 1st percentile.

Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, posting a .187 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .099 disparity.

Christian Bethancourt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Donovan Solano's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Donovan Solano will have an edge in today's matchup. Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Donovan Solano will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Trevor Rogers today. Out of all the teams today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today. Jurickson Profar's footspeed has improved this season. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.7 ft/sec now.