Citi Field
Will Smith will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
Brett Baty's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today. Brett Baty has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 12th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have an edge today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams in action today.
When it comes to his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Freddie Freeman has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams in action today.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Gavin Lux will have an edge in today's game. Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 19th-best batter in the league. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. J.D. Martinez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage today. Sporting a .349 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, J.D. Martinez has performed in the 81st percentile for hitting ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Miguel Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Francisco Lindor's true offensive talent to be a .336, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .054 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .282 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand today. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage today. Starling Marte has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .305 figure is deflated compared to his .436 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 80th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Starling Marte demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core skill for achieving a high batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Stone today. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Mookie Betts projects as the 7th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Mookie Betts will have an edge in today's matchup. Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams in action today.
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an advantage today.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Jason Heyward will have the upper hand in today's game. Among every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Jason Heyward's 15.7° launch angle (an advanced standard to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the league: 76th percentile.
Kike Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Kike Hernandez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Kike Hernandez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Kike Hernandez has had bad variance on his side this year. His .249 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .310.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Harrison Bader hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today.
The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Andy Pages will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Ranking in the 81st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.33 ft/sec this year, Andy Pages is very fast.
Batting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Omar Narvaez will have an edge in today's game. Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Omar Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .236 mark is a good deal lower than his .305 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Omar Narvaez and his 27.9% rank in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos's 10.7% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 77th percentile among his peers.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.293) suggests that Miguel Rojas has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .239 actual batting average.
DJ Stewart has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
Chris Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Austin Barnes has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
Tyrone Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
