The Philadelphia Phillies bring a seven-game lead to Citi Field as they take on the second-place New York Mets tonight.
Southpaw Cristopher Sanchez has shifted into cruise control, and my Phillies vs. Mets predictions are calling for the lefty to steer Philadelphia to victory in Queens.
Find out more in my MLB picks for Monday, August 25.
Phillies vs Mets same-game parlay (SGP)
Phillies vs Mets prediction
Phillies vs Mets best bet: Phillies -1.5 (+135)
Phillies vs Mets best bet analysis
The underlying numbers for the New York Mets dip against left-handed pitchers, and Philadelphia Phillies southpaw Cristopher Sanchez is the real deal.
He’s spun a sterling 2.46 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 2.82 xFIP while holding opposing hitters to a minuscule 5.9 barrel percentage, and the Mets drop to a 16th-ranked wOBA and 15th-ranked ISO against lefties.
The Philly lineup respectively ranks sixth and 12th in the two metrics against right-handed pitchers, and I’m anticipating statistical correction catching up to Kodai Senga.
His 4.08 xFIP and 3.88 xERA are way above his 2.58 ERA, and Senga’s .254 BABIP and 82.5% stand rate are unsustainably good.
Of course, the Phillies are also rolling into this series on a high note and have covered the run line in 35 of their last 63 games (+7.65 Units / 10% ROI).
Phillies vs Mets same-game parlay analysis
Philadelphia star Bryce Harper has teed off on righties with a .378 wOBA and .230 ISO over the past three years, and he's sporting a .955 OPS across his past 10 games.
Turning to Trea Turner, he’s rolling in August with a monster .405 wOBA and .941 OPS while piling up 16 runs, 33 hits, and 17 RBI across 22 games. The Phillies' shortstop has also eclipsed the Over in this market in 12 of those contests.
Phillies vs Mets odds
- Moneyline: Philadelphia -110 | New York -110
- Run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+150) | New York +1.5 (-180)
- Over/Under: Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115)
Phillies vs Mets trend
Philadelphia has covered the run line in 35 of its last 63 games (+7.65 Units / 10% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Mets.
How to watch Phillies vs Mets and game info
| Location | Citi Field, Flushing, NY |
| Date | Monday, August 25, 2025 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Cristopher Sanchez (11-4, 2.47 ERA) |
| Mets starting pitcher | Kodai Senga (7-5, 2.58 ERA) |
Phillies vs Mets latest injuries
Phillies vs Mets weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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