San Francisco @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Tyler Fitzgerald will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.69 ft/sec this year, Tyler Fitzgerald is remarkably toolsy.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jorge Soler will have the upper hand in today's game. Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.298) provides evidence that Jorge Soler has had some very good luck this year with his .303 actual wOBA. Since the start of last season, Jorge Soler's 14.7% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 field in the game for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Keaton Winn will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm in today's matchup. Alec Bohm's speed has decreased this year. His 26.56 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.94 ft/sec now.

Tom Murphy will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today. Tom Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. As it relates to his batting average, Tom Murphy has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .258 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .295. Tom Murphy's 14.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season. Tom Murphy's 96.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Edmundo Sosa pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 94th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.25 ft/sec since the start of last season, Edmundo Sosa is very fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Nick Castellanos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .222 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Castellanos has suffered from bad luck given the .095 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317. Nick Castellanos ranks in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (47.3% rate since the start of last season).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Keaton Winn throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage today. Kyle Schwarber's 16.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Keaton Winn today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Bryson Stott has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .273 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .301.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Wilmer Flores will have an advantage in today's game. Wilmer Flores pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Wilmer Flores generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Wilmer Flores's 21.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 98th percentile.

Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Thairo Estrada will have an advantage today. Thairo Estrada pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.267) may lead us to conclude that Thairo Estrada has had positive variance on his side this year with his .285 actual wOBA. Thairo Estrada is in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (46% rate since the start of last season).

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Nick Ahmed will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. In terms of his batting average, Nick Ahmed has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .222 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .240. Nick Ahmed grades out in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (46.3% rate since the start of last season).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best hitter in baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Bryce Harper will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Keaton Winn in today's game. Bryce Harper will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto's 11.2% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 76th percentile among his peers.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage over Keaton Winn in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Matt Chapman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Chapman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

Johan Rojas's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage today. Johan Rojas's quickness has increased this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30.03 ft/sec now. Johan Rojas has notched a .355 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Austin Slater is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Slater is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Austin Slater will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Austin Slater has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 27.72 ft/sec to 28.43 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.407) provides evidence that Michael Conforto has experienced some negative variance this year with his .308 actual wOBA. Since the start of last season, Michael Conforto's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 76th percentile at 94.2 mph. Michael Conforto has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 15.3° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (80th percentile).