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Chicago @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Amaya
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+900
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+900
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB.

Miguel Amaya

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+500
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+500
Projection Rating

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the platoon advantage over Shota Imanaga today. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the platoon advantage over Shota Imanaga today. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+320
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+320
Projection Rating

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have the upper hand today.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have the upper hand today.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+380
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+380
Projection Rating

The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Enmanuel Valdez is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP. Enmanuel Valdez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Enmanuel Valdez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Enmanuel Valdez is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP. Enmanuel Valdez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Enmanuel Valdez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Pablo Reyes Total Hits Props • Boston

P. Reyes
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+330
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+330
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Pablo Reyes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Pablo Reyes will hold that advantage today.

Pablo Reyes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Pablo Reyes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Pablo Reyes will hold that advantage today.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

N. Hoerner
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this contest predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature of the day at 50°. Kutter Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nico Hoerner in today's game.

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this contest predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature of the day at 50°. Kutter Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nico Hoerner in today's game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Pete Crow-Armstrong has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Pete Crow-Armstrong has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Connor Wong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Connor Wong will hold the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Connor Wong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Connor Wong will hold the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

C. Morel
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Mervis
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Matt Mervis will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Matt Mervis hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Matt Mervis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Matt Mervis will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Matt Mervis hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have an edge in today's game. Tyler O'Neill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have an edge in today's game. Tyler O'Neill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's game.

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's game.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Kutter Crawford in this game. Ian Happ has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Kutter Crawford in this game. Ian Happ has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Mike Tauchman Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Tauchman
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Mike Tauchman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Mike Tauchman will have the upper hand today. Mike Tauchman has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Mike Tauchman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Mike Tauchman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Mike Tauchman will have the upper hand today. Mike Tauchman has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Bobby Dalbec Total Hits Props • Boston

B. Dalbec
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Bobby Dalbec will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. Bobby Dalbec will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Bobby Dalbec

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Bobby Dalbec will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. Bobby Dalbec will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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