Tampa Bay @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 4th-worst park in the majors for right-handed base hits. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Harold Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.281) suggests that Harold Ramirez has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .306 actual batting average. Harold Ramirez's 89.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to assess power) grades out in the 13th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 4th-worst park in the majors for right-handed base hits. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Amed Rosario hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Amed Rosario today. Since the start of last season, Amed Rosario's 3.6% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 11th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 4th-worst park in the majors for right-handed base hits. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz's quickness has fallen off this year. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.49 ft/sec now. Yandy Diaz and his 5° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Jose Siri will hold the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has had positive variance on his side this year. His .277 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .243. Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season. Jose Siri is in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.2% rate since the start of last season).

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jahmai Jones will hold that advantage in today's game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Aaron Judge projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Aaron Judge will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Aaron Judge has been unlucky this year, putting up a .315 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .407 — a .092 gap.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his good side against Zach Eflin in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Gleyber Torres will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .251 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gleyber Torres has had some very poor luck given the .084 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Alex Verdugo will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.214) implies that Giancarlo Stanton has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .198 actual batting average.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage against Nestor Cortes in today's game. Despite posting a .234 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Randy Arozarena has suffered from bad luck given the .108 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .342.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage over Zach Eflin in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game. Austin Wells has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .267 rate is considerably lower than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Rene Pinto will have the upper hand today. Rene Pinto has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Anthony Rizzo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Anthony Rizzo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Anthony Rizzo pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Anthony Rizzo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Jose Caballero will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the league.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an advantage today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.1° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the game. With a .371 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Isaac Paredes finds himself in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Curtis Mead will hold the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes today. Curtis Mead has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Anthony Volpe ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today. The standard deviation of Anthony Volpe's launch angle since the start of last season (25.2°) is in the 93rd percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.