TBS

Arizona @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte today.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte today.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Because of Austin Adams's huge platoon split, Brandon Marsh will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Because of Austin Adams's huge platoon split, Brandon Marsh will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Johan Rojas
J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Hitters such as Johan Rojas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage today.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Hitters such as Johan Rojas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage today.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in the majors. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Adams in today's game... and even better, Adams has a huge platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage today.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in the majors. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Adams in today's game... and even better, Adams has a huge platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage today.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Ranger Suarez. Geraldo Perdomo pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Ranger Suarez. Geraldo Perdomo pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Adams today... and even better, Adams has a huge platoon split. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Adams today... and even better, Adams has a huge platoon split. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage today.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Given Austin Adams's huge platoon split, Bryson Stott will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Given Austin Adams's huge platoon split, Bryson Stott will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 13th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average talent. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 13th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average talent. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today.

Evan Longoria Total Hits Props • Arizona

Evan Longoria
E. Longoria
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Longoria in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Evan Longoria will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Evan Longoria pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Evan Longoria

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Longoria in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Evan Longoria will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Evan Longoria pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

Gabriel Moreno
G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Gabriel Moreno's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Gabriel Moreno will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Gabriel Moreno's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Gabriel Moreno will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

Corbin Carroll
C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Corbin Carroll has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Corbin Carroll has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

Christian Walker
C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Christian Walker will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's game.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Christian Walker will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's game.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Arizona

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
designated hitter DH • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tommy Pham ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Tommy Pham will have the upper hand today.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tommy Pham ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Tommy Pham will have the upper hand today.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 58°. Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Arizona

Emmanuel Rivera
E. Rivera
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.72
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.06
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.92
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast