COL +249 o7.5
PIT -280 u7.5
STL +128 o9.0
TB -139 u9.0
NYM -131 o9.5
ATL +121 u9.5
WAS +226 o9.5
PHI -253 u9.5
HOU +114 o9.0
BAL -124 u9.0
TOR -123 o7.5
MIA +114 u7.5
KC +138 o8.0
DET -150 u8.0
MIN -111 o9.0
CHW +103 u9.0
SF +119 o8.0
MIL -129 u8.0
CLE +113 o7.5
TEX -122 u7.5
CHC -129 o9.5
LAA +119 u9.5
ATH +149 o7.5
SEA -162 u7.5
LAD -105 o8.0
SD -103 u8.0
CIN +114 o9.0
AZ -123 u9.0
BOS +143 o8.5
NYY -156 u8.5
TBS

Arizona @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today. Kyle Schwarber will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today. Kyle Schwarber will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas
A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alek Thomas's BABIP talent is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today's game. Alek Thomas has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Alek Thomas's BABIP talent is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today's game. Alek Thomas has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Evan Longoria Total Hits Props • Arizona

Evan Longoria
E. Longoria
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Longoria in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Evan Longoria pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Evan Longoria

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Longoria in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Evan Longoria pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Johan Rojas
J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 13th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 13th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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// Scripts for MLB A/B test