Kansas City @ Houston Picks & Props
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KC vs HOU Props
Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Edward Olivares's batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edward Olivares is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Edward Olivares pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Nick Pratto Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Nick Pratto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's matchup. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nick Pratto has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme flyball hitters like Nick Pratto tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.
Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters as the 13th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Drew Waters has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph to 92.1-mph over the last week. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.8°, Drew Waters has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 27.7° angle in the last week's worth of games.
Nelson Velazquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Nelson Velazquez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Among all stadiums, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Nelson Velazquez has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.7% rate last season to 21.4% this year. Nelson Velazquez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 97.7-mph over the last 7 days.
Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Houston
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Martin Maldonado pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Martin Maldonado will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Martin Maldonado has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph. Martin Maldonado's launch angle this year (17.7°) is quite a bit better than his 14.1° angle last year.
Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The #8 park in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Hunter Brown will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game. In today's matchup, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.3% rate (88th percentile). Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Brown today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball batters like Michael Massey tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Michael Massey's launch angle this season (19.4°) is significantly better than his 15.8° mark last season.
Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Among all stadiums, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Out of every team today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Jeremy Pena will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
KC vs HOU Trends
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+10.40 Units / 87% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.68 Units / 85% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 69 away games (+8.55 Units / 11% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 67% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.32 Units / 56% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 away games (-16.05 Units / -20% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 2 of their last 9 games (-6.15 Units / -59% ROI)
Houston Trends
The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.65 Units / 15% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.65 Units / 19% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 57 of their last 100 games (+8.61 Units / 7% ROI)
The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 82 games (+3.05 Units / 3% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 77 games at home (-29.55 Units / -23% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 77 games (-28.11 Units / -25% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Team Total Under in 71 of their last 154 games (-25.55 Units / -14% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 106 games (-22.32 Units / -18% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 80 games at home (-18.26 Units / -19% ROI)
KC vs HOU Top User Picks
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||
Houston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +25682 |
| 2 | MLBFan8848 | 6-4-0 | +19240 |
| 3 | vlkvlk2012 | 5-5-0 | +19170 |
| 4 | Enelra18 | 7-3-0 | +18580 |
| 5 | sleeper2239 | 6-4-0 | +17535 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 6-4-0 | +17160 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 6-4-0 | +16230 |
| 8 | DarthRaider27 | 4-6-0 | +16035 |
| 9 | ewatson15 | 7-3-0 | +15815 |
| 10 | mdterrrps | 7-3-0 | +13795 |
| All Astros Money Leaders | |||