New York @ Atlanta Picks & Props

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the majors. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Travis d'Arnaud in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Travis d'Arnaud will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Travis d'Arnaud has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91-mph average.

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Eddie Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The 3rd-deepest LF dimensions in the majors are found in Truist Park. Tylor Megill will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna today. Marcell Ozuna has recorded a .273 BABIP this year, ranking in the 16th percentile.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his bad side (0) today against Bryce Elder Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Francisco Lindor has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 10.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 17.6% on the season to 0% in the past week.

Tylor Megill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today. Compared to his seasonal angle of 7.1°, Ronald Acuna Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.5°) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Pete Alonso projects as the 13th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Pete Alonso has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 16% seasonal rate to 46.2% in the past 7 days.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today's matchup. From last season to this one, Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.7% to 11.9%. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, falling from 40.8% on the season to 25% over the last week. Using Statcast data, Jeff McNeil is in the 25th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .309.

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. The switch-hitting Jonathan Arauz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Bryce Elder. Jonathan Arauz has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .187 figure is considerably lower than his .257 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The 3rd-deepest LF dimensions in the majors are found in Truist Park. Tylor Megill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's game. Austin Riley's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 95.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 92.6-mph over the past 14 days. Austin Riley's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 16.3% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

In the last week's worth of games, Michael Harris II's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%. Michael Harris II's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (4.4°) is considerably lower than his 8.2° figure last season. Over the last 14 days, Michael Harris II's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 4.4°.

Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will be challenged by the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today's game.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Orlando Arcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Orlando Arcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 92.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 90.1-mph in the last 7 days.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°.

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. D.J. Stewart will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. D.J. Stewart has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 19.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last two weeks.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage over Tylor Megill in today's game. Nicky Lopez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Nicky Lopez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 86.7-mph.

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Rafael Ortega will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. Rafael Ortega has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate.

Daniel Vogelbach is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 90°. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.