New York @ Atlanta Picks & Props

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his worse side (0) today against Allan Winans Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Francisco Lindor's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.7% down to 0%. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 17.7% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeff McNeil today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.7% to 12%. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, going from 41.1% on the season to 28.6% over the last week. This year, Jeff McNeil's 1.5% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 3rd percentile among his peers.

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 13th-worst out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. Vaughn Grissom will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 15th-worst out of every team in action today.

The 3rd-deepest LF fences in the majors are found in Truist Park.

Ronald Acuna Jr.'s launch angle recently (0.8° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 7.1° seasonal figure.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 14th-worst out of every team playing today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. Sean Murphy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 15th-worst out of every team in action today.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. Orlando Arcia will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 15th-worst out of every team in action today.

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The switch-hitting Jonathan Arauz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Allan Winans. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 13th-worst out of every team playing today.

David Peterson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Harris II today. Typically, batters like Michael Harris II who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as David Peterson. In the past week, Michael Harris II's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%. Compared to his seasonal angle of 7°, Michael Harris II has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0°) in the past two weeks' worth of games. Michael Harris II's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (4.3°) is considerably lower than his 8.2° figure last year.

Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will be challenged by baseball's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Brandon Nimmo's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 92 mph to 88.6 mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 11th-best batter in MLB. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°.

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. D.J. Stewart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Allan Winans in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 13th-worst out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. Marcell Ozuna will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's game.

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. Rafael Ortega will have the handedness advantage over Allan Winans in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 13th-worst out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daniel Vogelbach in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Daniel Vogelbach is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage over Allan Winans in today's matchup.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. Omar Narvaez will have the handedness advantage against Allan Winans in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 13th-worst out of every team playing today.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. Kevin Pillar will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 15th-worst out of every team in action today. Kevin Pillar will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.